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Will a court order the Trump Administration to give tariff refunds this year? · 84% chance · Kosmos

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politics

KalshiCloses in 6mo

Will a court order the Trump Administration to give tariff refunds this year?

Current chance

84%

Before 2027

24h volume: 2.9K contracts
Closes: Closes in 6mo

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Contract

Stale · 3086h ago

Kalshi

Before 2027

Closes in 6mopolitics

Current probability

84%

84c YES

13c NO

Quote tape

Yes: 84c
No: 13c

Market data

24h volume: 2.9K contracts
Total volume: 92.1K contracts

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Venue feeds

Kalshi

Chart data is unavailable for this range.

Before 2027 and No probability

Market data

Liquidity, pricing and contract timing

Total volume: 92.1K contracts
24h volume: 2.9K contracts
Closes: Jan 1, 2027
Source updated: Mar 4, 2026

Market discussion

Public trader commentary linked to this contract

Kosmos readpending

No generated read is attached yet.

The rail will populate once Kosmos has a fresh market move, linked news, or provider context.

No related markets right now.

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Kosmos readpending

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The rail will populate once Kosmos has a fresh market move, linked news, or provider context.

No related markets right now.

Ask Kosmos

preview

Ask me anything about Will a court order the Trump Administration to give tariff refunds this year?— the odds, what’s driving the move, or how it resolves.