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Liquidity, pricing and contract timing
What must happen for this contract to settle
If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Public trader commentary linked to this contract
The rail will populate once Kosmos has a fresh market move, linked news, or provider context.
Is the Strait of Hormuz still Iran's trump card?
Iran's latest attacks show it can easily disrupt shipping, energy markets and draw in Gulf neighbors. DW asks how much leverage Tehran really has over Washington and if its…
Oil prices rise to record level after Iran launches attacks on tankers near strait of Hormuz
Brent crude benchmark rose to more than $78 a barrel after attacks, its sharpest increase since ceasefire began Oil markets have recorded the sharpest price rise in nearly two…
WTI Extends Gains As Crude Exports Slide, SPR Drain Continues, 'Tank Bottoms' Hit
WTI Extends Gains As Crude Exports Slide, SPR Drain Continues, 'Tank Bottoms' Hit Oil prices spiked overnight to three-week-highs after President Trump said that he thought the…
Four oil and gas tankers turn back from Hormuz strait after vessel attacks
Renewed attacks on vessels in the critical waterway have heightened safety and security concerns.
In Philippines, solar power becomes ‘practical necessity’ as energy costs soar
Joab Jorge runs Dream Latte Cafe, a speciality coffee shop and small-batch roastery, with his mother Ces out of their old ancestral home in Pilar, a town in Bataan province some…
The Next Oil Price Spike Could Come Sooner Than Traders Think
Oil prices have dropped back to pre-war levels since the United States and Iran agreed to negotiate a deal under a framework that included the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.…
US military strikes Iran after Tehran hits 3 tankers in Strait of Hormuz
The U.S. military began launching a series of “powerful” strikes against targets in Iran after Tehran attacked at least three commercial vessels that were transiting the Strait of…
US revokes Iran oil waiver after Hormuz tanker attacks
A US official said Iran’s actions were "wholly unacceptable" and warned they would face consequences.
Ship hit in Hormuz as millions march for ayatollah; Iran says no talks unless Trump halts threats
July 7 - A ship was hit in the Strait of Hormuz overnight and Iran said there would be no more peace talks unless Donald Trump halted his repeated threats to restart the war, as…
Israel's war to isolate Iran isolated Israel instead. The plan was simple enough. Hit Iran, rattle the Gulf, and push the Arab states under Israel's…
Israel's war to isolate Iran isolated Israel instead. The plan was simple enough. Hit Iran, rattle the Gulf, and push the Arab states under Israel's wing against the common…
Iran Begins Dayslong Funeral for the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Killed in War
Hundreds of thousands of mourners began a dayslong funeral Saturday for Iran's late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in Tehran, calling for revenge against Israel and the…
Saudi Arabia is exporting the most crude from inside the Persian Gulf since the the Iran war blocked the Strait of Hormuz, as producers across the…
Saudi Arabia is exporting the most crude from inside the Persian Gulf since the the Iran war blocked the Strait of Hormuz, as producers across the region boost shipments following…
Ask me anything about Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?— the odds, what’s driving the move, or how it resolves.
