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Polymarket Kalshi

Kosmos

Prediction markets, signals, and source-grounded context in one workspace.

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Polymarket Kalshi

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 5.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

16%

84%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 5.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 6.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 1.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

91%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 1.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

90%

10%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 1.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

86%

14%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 1.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

85%

15%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 2.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

77%

23%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 2.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

79%

21%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 2.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

75%

25%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 2.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

58%

42%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 3.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

60%

40%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 3.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

59%

41%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 3.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

50%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 3.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

51%

49%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 4.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 4.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

39%

61%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 4.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

34%

66%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 4.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

32%

68%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 5.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

30%

70%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 5.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

29%

71%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 5.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

27%

73%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 5.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

12%

88%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 6.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

91%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 1.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 1.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

89%

11%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 1.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

84%

16%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $3

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 1.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

80%

20%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 2.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

73%

27%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 2.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

67%

33%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 2.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

67%

33%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 2.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

65%

35%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 3.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

65%

35%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 3.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

57%

43%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 3.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

52%

48%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 3.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

50%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 4.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

42%

58%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 4.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

39%

61%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 4.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

36%

64%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 4.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

35%

65%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 5.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

32%

68%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 5.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

30%

70%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 5.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

22%

78%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 5.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

19%

81%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 6.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

15%

85%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 1.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

91%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 1.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

75%

25%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 1.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

80%

20%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 1.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

73%

27%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 2.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

72%

28%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 2.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

72%

28%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 2.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

69%

31%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 2.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

70%

30%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 3.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

64%

36%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 3.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

56%

44%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 3.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 3.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 4.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

47%

53%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 4.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 4.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

37%

63%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 4.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

32%

68%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 5.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

28%

72%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 5.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

27%

73%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 5.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

27%

73%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 5.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

22%

78%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 6.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

16%

84%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 1.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

89%

11%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 1.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

78%

22%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 1.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

74%

26%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 1.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

73%

27%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 2.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

72%

28%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 2.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

62%

38%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 2.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

67%

33%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 2.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

60%

40%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 3.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

57%

43%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 3.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

50%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 3.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

52%

48%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 3.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

50%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 4.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

53%

47%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 4.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

44%

56%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 4.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

36%

64%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 4.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

38%

62%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 5.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

34%

66%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 5.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

32%

68%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 5.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

26%

74%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 5.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

23%

77%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 6.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 1.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

81%

19%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 1.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

80%

20%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $7

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 1.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

75%

25%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 1.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

78%

22%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 2.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

71%

29%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 2.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

73%

27%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 2.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

66%

34%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 2.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

59%

41%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 3.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

60%

40%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 3.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

54%

46%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 3.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 3.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 4.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

41%

59%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

PreviousPage 14 of 43Next

Methodology and data sources

Kalshi publishes a fixed pool for each active incentive period. The card shows that period pool, the venue’s target size, and its discount factor without converting them into Polymarket rules.

Prices and 24-hour volume come from Kalshi’s live market feed. The reward catalog is refreshed every five minutes; market data is refreshed every minute.

Every reward market is matched against the catalog by its provider id.

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 5.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

16%

84%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 5.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 6.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 1.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

91%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 1.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

90%

10%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 1.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

86%

14%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 1.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

85%

15%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 2.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

77%

23%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 2.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

79%

21%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 2.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

75%

25%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 2.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

58%

42%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 3.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

60%

40%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 3.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

59%

41%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 3.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

50%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 3.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

51%

49%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 4.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 4.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

39%

61%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 4.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

34%

66%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 4.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

32%

68%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 5.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

30%

70%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 5.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

29%

71%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 5.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

27%

73%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 5.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

12%

88%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 6.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

91%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 1.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 1.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

89%

11%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 1.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

84%

16%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $3

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 1.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

80%

20%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 2.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

73%

27%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 2.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

67%

33%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 2.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

67%

33%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 2.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

65%

35%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 3.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

65%

35%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 3.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

57%

43%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 3.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

52%

48%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 3.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

50%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 4.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

42%

58%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 4.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

39%

61%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 4.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

36%

64%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 4.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

35%

65%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 5.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

32%

68%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 5.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

30%

70%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 5.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

22%

78%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 5.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

19%

81%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 6.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

15%

85%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 1.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

91%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 1.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

75%

25%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 1.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

80%

20%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 1.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

73%

27%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 2.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

72%

28%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 2.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

72%

28%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 2.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

69%

31%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 2.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

70%

30%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 3.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

64%

36%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 3.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

56%

44%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 3.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 3.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 4.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

47%

53%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 4.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 4.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

37%

63%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 4.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

32%

68%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 5.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

28%

72%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 5.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

27%

73%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 5.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

27%

73%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 5.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

22%

78%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 6.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

16%

84%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 1.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

89%

11%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 1.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

78%

22%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 1.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

74%

26%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 1.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

73%

27%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 2.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

72%

28%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 2.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

62%

38%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 2.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

67%

33%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 2.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

60%

40%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 3.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

57%

43%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 3.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

50%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 3.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

52%

48%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 3.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

50%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 4.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

53%

47%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 4.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

44%

56%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 4.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

36%

64%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 4.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

38%

62%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 5.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

34%

66%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 5.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

32%

68%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 5.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

26%

74%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 5.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

23%

77%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 6.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 1.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

81%

19%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 1.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

80%

20%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $7

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 1.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

75%

25%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 1.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

78%

22%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 2.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

71%

29%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 2.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

73%

27%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 2.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

66%

34%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 2.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

59%

41%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 3.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

60%

40%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 3.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

54%

46%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 3.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 3.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 4.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

41%

59%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

PreviousPage 14 of 43Next

Methodology and data sources

Kalshi publishes a fixed pool for each active incentive period. The card shows that period pool, the venue’s target size, and its discount factor without converting them into Polymarket rules.

Prices and 24-hour volume come from Kalshi’s live market feed. The reward catalog is refreshed every five minutes; market data is refreshed every minute.

Every reward market is matched against the catalog by its provider id.