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Polymarket Kalshi

Kosmos

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Polymarket Kalshi

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 4.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

39%

61%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 4.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

37%

63%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 4.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

33%

67%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 5.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

31%

69%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 5.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

28%

72%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 5.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

28%

72%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 5.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

19%

81%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 6.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

13%

87%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 1.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

76%

24%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 1.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

71%

29%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 1.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

73%

27%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 1.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

73%

27%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $41

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 2.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

72%

28%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 2.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

69%

31%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $52

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 2.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

68%

32%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 2.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

60%

40%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 3.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

54%

46%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 3.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

57%

43%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 3.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

53%

47%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 3.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 4.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 4.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

38%

62%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 4.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

35%

65%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 4.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

32%

68%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 5.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

28%

72%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 5.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

29%

71%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $100

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 5.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

28%

72%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 5.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

26%

74%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 6.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

24%

76%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 1.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

78%

22%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $195

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 1.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

81%

19%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $205

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 1.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

66%

34%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 1.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

67%

33%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 2.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

65%

35%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 2.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

60%

40%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 2.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

60%

40%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 2.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

54%

46%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 3.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

55%

45%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 3.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

51%

49%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 3.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 3.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

46%

54%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 4.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

41%

59%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 4.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

39%

61%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 4.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

36%

64%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 4.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

34%

66%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 5.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

32%

68%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 5.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

27%

73%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 5.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

25%

75%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 5.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

24%

76%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 6.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

91%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 1.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

76%

24%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 1.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

71%

29%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 1.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

66%

34%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 1.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

70%

30%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 2.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

61%

39%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 2.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

58%

42%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 2.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

57%

43%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 2.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

60%

40%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 3.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

59%

41%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 3.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

52%

48%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 3.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

51%

49%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 3.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 4.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

44%

56%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 4.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

40%

60%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 4.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

37%

63%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 4.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

31%

69%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 5.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

31%

69%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 5.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

29%

71%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 5.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

24%

76%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 5.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

21%

79%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 6.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

19%

81%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 1.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

76%

24%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 1.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

77%

23%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 1.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

75%

25%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 1.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

68%

32%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 2.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

68%

32%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 2.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

71%

29%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $4

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 2.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

64%

36%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 2.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

58%

42%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 3.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

51%

49%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 3.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

52%

48%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 3.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

54%

46%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 3.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

52%

48%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 4.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

47%

53%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 4.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

42%

58%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 4.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

41%

59%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 4.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

40%

60%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 5.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

34%

66%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $25

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 5.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

30%

70%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 5.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

25%

75%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 5.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

27%

73%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 6.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

10%

90%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 136 million?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 138 million?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 140 million?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

77%

23%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 142 million?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

59%

41%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 144 million?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

19%

81%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 146 million?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 148 million?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will Florida visitors in 2026 be above 143.33 million visitors?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

25%

75%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

PreviousPage 15 of 43Next

Methodology and data sources

Kalshi publishes a fixed pool for each active incentive period. The card shows that period pool, the venue’s target size, and its discount factor without converting them into Polymarket rules.

Prices and 24-hour volume come from Kalshi’s live market feed. The reward catalog is refreshed every five minutes; market data is refreshed every minute.

Every reward market is matched against the catalog by its provider id.

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 4.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

39%

61%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 4.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

37%

63%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 4.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

33%

67%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 5.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

31%

69%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 5.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

28%

72%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 5.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

28%

72%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 5.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

19%

81%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 6.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

13%

87%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 1.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

76%

24%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 1.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

71%

29%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 1.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

73%

27%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 1.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

73%

27%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $41

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 2.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

72%

28%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 2.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

69%

31%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $52

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 2.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

68%

32%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 2.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

60%

40%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 3.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

54%

46%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 3.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

57%

43%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 3.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

53%

47%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 3.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 4.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 4.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

38%

62%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 4.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

35%

65%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 4.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

32%

68%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 5.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

28%

72%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 5.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

29%

71%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $100

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 5.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

28%

72%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 5.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

26%

74%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 6.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

24%

76%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 1.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

78%

22%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $195

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 1.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

81%

19%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $205

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 1.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

66%

34%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 1.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

67%

33%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 2.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

65%

35%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 2.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

60%

40%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 2.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

60%

40%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 2.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

54%

46%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 3.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

55%

45%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 3.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

51%

49%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 3.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 3.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

46%

54%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 4.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

41%

59%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 4.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

39%

61%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 4.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

36%

64%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 4.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

34%

66%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 5.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

32%

68%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 5.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

27%

73%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 5.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

25%

75%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 5.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

24%

76%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 6.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

91%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 1.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

76%

24%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 1.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

71%

29%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 1.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

66%

34%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 1.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

70%

30%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 2.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

61%

39%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 2.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

58%

42%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 2.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

57%

43%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 2.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

60%

40%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 3.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

59%

41%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 3.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

52%

48%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 3.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

51%

49%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 3.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 4.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

44%

56%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 4.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

40%

60%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 4.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

37%

63%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 4.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

31%

69%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 5.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

31%

69%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 5.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

29%

71%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 5.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

24%

76%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 5.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

21%

79%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 6.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

19%

81%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 1.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

76%

24%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 1.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

77%

23%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 1.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

75%

25%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 1.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

68%

32%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 2.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

68%

32%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 2.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

71%

29%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $4

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 2.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

64%

36%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 2.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

58%

42%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 3.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

51%

49%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 3.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

52%

48%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 3.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

54%

46%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 3.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

52%

48%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 4.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

47%

53%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 4.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

42%

58%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 4.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

41%

59%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 4.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

40%

60%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 5.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

34%

66%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $25

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 5.25%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

30%

70%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 5.50%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

25%

75%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 5.75%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

27%

73%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$25 pool

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 6.00%?

Active until Aug 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

10%

90%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 136 million?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 138 million?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 140 million?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

77%

23%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 142 million?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

59%

41%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 144 million?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

19%

81%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 146 million?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will the number of visitors to Florida in 2026 be above 148 million?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will Florida visitors in 2026 be above 143.33 million visitors?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

25%

75%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

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Methodology and data sources

Kalshi publishes a fixed pool for each active incentive period. The card shows that period pool, the venue’s target size, and its discount factor without converting them into Polymarket rules.

Prices and 24-hour volume come from Kalshi’s live market feed. The reward catalog is refreshed every five minutes; market data is refreshed every minute.

Every reward market is matched against the catalog by its provider id.