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Polymarket Kalshi

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Hawaii’s total visitor expenditures for 2026 be above $21.7531 billion?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

93%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$280 pool

Will it be reported by the U.S. House of Representatives that the U.S. House of Representatives adjourns from substantive floor business for its pre-election 2026 recess before Nov 4, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$280 pool

Will it be reported by the U.S. House of Representatives that the U.S. House of Representatives adjourns from substantive floor business for its pre-election 2026 recess before Oct 2, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

85%

15%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$280 pool

Will it be reported by the U.S. House of Representatives that the U.S. House of Representatives adjourns from substantive floor business for its pre-election 2026 recess before Sep 4, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,000

Kalshi$280 pool

Will it be reported by the U.S. House of Representatives that the U.S. House of Representatives adjourns from substantive floor business for its pre-election 2026 recess before Sep 18, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $800

Kalshi$280 pool

Will it be reported by the U.S. House of Representatives that the U.S. House of Representatives adjourns from substantive floor business for its pre-election 2026 recess before Sep 26, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

15%

85%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Iowa’s corn for grain production for 2026 be above 2.772 billion bushels?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.3 billion gallons?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.4 billion gallons?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.5 billion gallons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

79%

21%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.6 billion gallons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

38%

62%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.7 billion gallons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

22%

78%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.8 billion gallons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

10%

90%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.9 billion gallons?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 5.0 billion gallons?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the statewide average value of Iowa farmland for 2026 be above $11,250/acre?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

93%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the statewide average value of Iowa farmland for 2026 be above $11,500/acre?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

68%

32%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the statewide average value of Iowa farmland for 2026 be above $11,750/acre?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

43%

57%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $27

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the statewide average value of Iowa farmland for 2026 be above $12,000/acre?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

10%

90%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $100

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 1000 as of October 31, 2027?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

31%

69%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 1100 as of October 31, 2027?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

16%

84%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 500 as of October 31, 2027?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 600 as of October 31, 2027?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

93%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 700 as of October 31, 2027?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

90%

10%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 800 as of October 31, 2027?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

78%

22%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 900 as of October 31, 2027?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

54%

46%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Idaho’s potato production for 2026 be above 138.38 million cwt?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

25%

75%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2

Kalshi$500 pool

Will Illinois’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only FHFA HPI for Q4 2026 be above 327.38?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

93%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 100.0 TWh?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

91%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 102.5 TWh?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 87.5 TWh?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 90.0 TWh?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 92.5 TWh?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

93%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 95.0 TWh?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

85%

15%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 97.5 TWh?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

38%

62%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Indiana’s corn for grain yield per harvested acre in 2027 be above 205 bu/acre?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

63%

37%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Indiana’s Transportation Equipment Manufacturing employment for December 2026 be above 120,800 jobs?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

34%

66%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Oct 1, 2026?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $72.3K

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Apr 1, 2027?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

52%

48%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $132

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Feb 1, 2027?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $531

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Jan 1, 2027?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $36.9K

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Mar 1, 2027?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

22%

78%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $48

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 Pro before Oct 1, 2026?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $33.2K

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 Pro before Sep 21, 2026?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

88%

12%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $380

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 Pro before Sep 28, 2026?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $8,114

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 Pro before Apr 1, 2027?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 Pro before Jan 1, 2027?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 Pro before Jun 1, 2027?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Where will Enzo Fernandez go next?

Active until Sep 5, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Where will Enzo Fernandez go next?

Active until Sep 5, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

75%

25%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,180

Kalshi$145 pool

Will the seasonally adjusted number of total nonfarm job openings in the United States for July 2026 be above 7.20M?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

83%

17%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$145 pool

Will the seasonally adjusted number of total nonfarm job openings in the United States for July 2026 be above 7.25M?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

50%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$145 pool

Will the seasonally adjusted number of total nonfarm job openings in the United States for July 2026 be above 7.30M?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

33%

67%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$145 pool

Will the seasonally adjusted number of total nonfarm job openings in the United States for July 2026 be above 7.35M?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

30%

70%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$145 pool

Will the seasonally adjusted number of total nonfarm job openings in the United States for July 2026 be above 7.40M?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

27%

73%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$145 pool

Will the seasonally adjusted number of total nonfarm job openings in the United States for July 2026 be above 7.45M?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

24%

76%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$145 pool

Will the seasonally adjusted number of total nonfarm job openings in the United States for July 2026 be above 7.50M?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

21%

79%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$230 pool

Will Japan inflation exceed Singapore inflation for August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

15%

85%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$400 pool

Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

72%

28%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the Maryland Transportation Authority (MDTA) or its Board announce its award of the contract to construct the main span of the replacement Francis Scott Key Bridge to a named firm or team, under any contract structure or delivery method before Oct 1, 2027?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

90%

10%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kansas’s winter wheat production for 2026 be above 175 million bushels?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kansas’s winter wheat production for 2026 be above 180 million bushels?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

93%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kansas’s winter wheat production for 2026 be above 185 million bushels?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

79%

21%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $880

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kansas’s winter wheat production for 2026 be above 190 million bushels?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

54%

46%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kansas’s winter wheat production for 2026 be above 195 million bushels?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

17%

83%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $500

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kansas’s winter wheat production for 2026 be above 200 million bushels?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kansas’s winter wheat production for 2026 be above 205 million bushels?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

93%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kansas’s winter wheat production for 2026 be above 210 million bushels?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky for January 1, 2026 be above 15.5 million barrels?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky for January 1, 2026 be above 16.0 million barrels?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

83%

17%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky for January 1, 2026 be above 16.5 million barrels?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

69%

31%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky for January 1, 2026 be above 17.0 million barrels?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

29%

71%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky for January 1, 2026 be above 17.5 million barrels?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

11%

89%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky for January 1, 2026 be above 18.0 million barrels?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 20 million short tons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

76%

24%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 22 million short tons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

52%

48%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 24 million short tons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

30%

70%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 26 million short tons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

55%

45%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 28 million short tons?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

10%

90%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 30 million short tons?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kentucky private employment in Distilleries (NAICS 312140) for June 2026 be above 7,542 jobs?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

37%

63%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$285 pool

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the winning bid for the Grand Champion Country Ham at the 2026 Kentucky Farm Bureau Country Ham Breakfast and Charity Auction exceeds $10.5 million before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

33%

67%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $16

Kalshi$230 pool

Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on renaming Lake Ontario to Lake America before Oct 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

28%

72%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $8,176

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Louisiana’s annual-average employment in Oil and Gas Extraction for 2026 be above 5,100 jobs?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

13%

87%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will Eli Lilly Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 110 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

59%

41%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will Eli Lilly Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 119.5 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

57%

43%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will Eli Lilly Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 127.5 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

57%

43%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will Eli Lilly Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 135 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

51%

49%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will Eli Lilly Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 142.5 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

51%

49%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will Eli Lilly Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 150.5 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

51%

49%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will Eli Lilly Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 160.5 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will Eli Lilly Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 173.5 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

47%

53%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will Eli Lilly Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 96.5 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

61%

39%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

26%

74%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will the Anaheim Angels naming bill become law?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Colorado's AI rules take effect before February 2027?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

90%

10%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

21%

79%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will Illinois regulate data center energy and water use?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

71%

29%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Maine enact a law restricting large data centers?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

86%

14%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $8

Kalshi$200 pool

Will North Dakota ban cloud seeding?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

16%

84%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

PreviousPage 22 of 44Next

Methodology and data sources

Kalshi publishes a fixed pool for each active incentive period. The card shows that period pool, the venue’s target size, and its discount factor without converting them into Polymarket rules.

Prices and 24-hour volume come from Kalshi’s live market feed. The reward catalog is refreshed every five minutes; market data is refreshed every minute.

Every reward market is matched against the catalog by its provider id.

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Hawaii’s total visitor expenditures for 2026 be above $21.7531 billion?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

93%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$280 pool

Will it be reported by the U.S. House of Representatives that the U.S. House of Representatives adjourns from substantive floor business for its pre-election 2026 recess before Nov 4, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$280 pool

Will it be reported by the U.S. House of Representatives that the U.S. House of Representatives adjourns from substantive floor business for its pre-election 2026 recess before Oct 2, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

85%

15%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$280 pool

Will it be reported by the U.S. House of Representatives that the U.S. House of Representatives adjourns from substantive floor business for its pre-election 2026 recess before Sep 4, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,000

Kalshi$280 pool

Will it be reported by the U.S. House of Representatives that the U.S. House of Representatives adjourns from substantive floor business for its pre-election 2026 recess before Sep 18, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $800

Kalshi$280 pool

Will it be reported by the U.S. House of Representatives that the U.S. House of Representatives adjourns from substantive floor business for its pre-election 2026 recess before Sep 26, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

15%

85%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Iowa’s corn for grain production for 2026 be above 2.772 billion bushels?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.3 billion gallons?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.4 billion gallons?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.5 billion gallons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

79%

21%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.6 billion gallons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

38%

62%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.7 billion gallons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

22%

78%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.8 billion gallons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

10%

90%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.9 billion gallons?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 5.0 billion gallons?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the statewide average value of Iowa farmland for 2026 be above $11,250/acre?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

93%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the statewide average value of Iowa farmland for 2026 be above $11,500/acre?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

68%

32%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the statewide average value of Iowa farmland for 2026 be above $11,750/acre?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

43%

57%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $27

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the statewide average value of Iowa farmland for 2026 be above $12,000/acre?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

10%

90%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $100

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 1000 as of October 31, 2027?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

31%

69%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 1100 as of October 31, 2027?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

16%

84%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 500 as of October 31, 2027?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 600 as of October 31, 2027?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

93%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 700 as of October 31, 2027?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

90%

10%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 800 as of October 31, 2027?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

78%

22%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 900 as of October 31, 2027?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

54%

46%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Idaho’s potato production for 2026 be above 138.38 million cwt?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

25%

75%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2

Kalshi$500 pool

Will Illinois’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only FHFA HPI for Q4 2026 be above 327.38?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

93%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 100.0 TWh?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

91%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 102.5 TWh?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 87.5 TWh?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 90.0 TWh?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 92.5 TWh?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

93%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 95.0 TWh?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

85%

15%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 97.5 TWh?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

38%

62%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Indiana’s corn for grain yield per harvested acre in 2027 be above 205 bu/acre?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

63%

37%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Indiana’s Transportation Equipment Manufacturing employment for December 2026 be above 120,800 jobs?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

34%

66%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Oct 1, 2026?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $72.3K

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Apr 1, 2027?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

52%

48%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $132

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Feb 1, 2027?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $531

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Jan 1, 2027?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $36.9K

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Mar 1, 2027?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

22%

78%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $48

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 Pro before Oct 1, 2026?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $33.2K

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 Pro before Sep 21, 2026?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

88%

12%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $380

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 Pro before Sep 28, 2026?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $8,114

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 Pro before Apr 1, 2027?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 Pro before Jan 1, 2027?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 Pro before Jun 1, 2027?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Where will Enzo Fernandez go next?

Active until Sep 5, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Where will Enzo Fernandez go next?

Active until Sep 5, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

75%

25%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,180

Kalshi$145 pool

Will the seasonally adjusted number of total nonfarm job openings in the United States for July 2026 be above 7.20M?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

83%

17%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$145 pool

Will the seasonally adjusted number of total nonfarm job openings in the United States for July 2026 be above 7.25M?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

50%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$145 pool

Will the seasonally adjusted number of total nonfarm job openings in the United States for July 2026 be above 7.30M?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

33%

67%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$145 pool

Will the seasonally adjusted number of total nonfarm job openings in the United States for July 2026 be above 7.35M?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

30%

70%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$145 pool

Will the seasonally adjusted number of total nonfarm job openings in the United States for July 2026 be above 7.40M?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

27%

73%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$145 pool

Will the seasonally adjusted number of total nonfarm job openings in the United States for July 2026 be above 7.45M?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

24%

76%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$145 pool

Will the seasonally adjusted number of total nonfarm job openings in the United States for July 2026 be above 7.50M?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

21%

79%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$230 pool

Will Japan inflation exceed Singapore inflation for August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

15%

85%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$400 pool

Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

72%

28%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the Maryland Transportation Authority (MDTA) or its Board announce its award of the contract to construct the main span of the replacement Francis Scott Key Bridge to a named firm or team, under any contract structure or delivery method before Oct 1, 2027?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

90%

10%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kansas’s winter wheat production for 2026 be above 175 million bushels?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kansas’s winter wheat production for 2026 be above 180 million bushels?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

93%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kansas’s winter wheat production for 2026 be above 185 million bushels?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

79%

21%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $880

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kansas’s winter wheat production for 2026 be above 190 million bushels?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

54%

46%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kansas’s winter wheat production for 2026 be above 195 million bushels?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

17%

83%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $500

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kansas’s winter wheat production for 2026 be above 200 million bushels?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kansas’s winter wheat production for 2026 be above 205 million bushels?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

93%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kansas’s winter wheat production for 2026 be above 210 million bushels?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky for January 1, 2026 be above 15.5 million barrels?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky for January 1, 2026 be above 16.0 million barrels?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

83%

17%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky for January 1, 2026 be above 16.5 million barrels?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

69%

31%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky for January 1, 2026 be above 17.0 million barrels?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

29%

71%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky for January 1, 2026 be above 17.5 million barrels?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

11%

89%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky for January 1, 2026 be above 18.0 million barrels?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 20 million short tons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

76%

24%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 22 million short tons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

52%

48%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 24 million short tons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

30%

70%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 26 million short tons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

55%

45%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 28 million short tons?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

10%

90%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 30 million short tons?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kentucky private employment in Distilleries (NAICS 312140) for June 2026 be above 7,542 jobs?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

37%

63%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$285 pool

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the winning bid for the Grand Champion Country Ham at the 2026 Kentucky Farm Bureau Country Ham Breakfast and Charity Auction exceeds $10.5 million before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

33%

67%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $16

Kalshi$230 pool

Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on renaming Lake Ontario to Lake America before Oct 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

28%

72%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $8,176

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Louisiana’s annual-average employment in Oil and Gas Extraction for 2026 be above 5,100 jobs?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

13%

87%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will Eli Lilly Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 110 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

59%

41%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will Eli Lilly Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 119.5 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

57%

43%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will Eli Lilly Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 127.5 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

57%

43%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will Eli Lilly Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 135 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

51%

49%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will Eli Lilly Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 142.5 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

51%

49%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will Eli Lilly Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 150.5 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

51%

49%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will Eli Lilly Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 160.5 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will Eli Lilly Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 173.5 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

47%

53%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will Eli Lilly Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 96.5 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

61%

39%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

26%

74%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will the Anaheim Angels naming bill become law?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Colorado's AI rules take effect before February 2027?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

90%

10%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

21%

79%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will Illinois regulate data center energy and water use?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

71%

29%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Maine enact a law restricting large data centers?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

86%

14%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $8

Kalshi$200 pool

Will North Dakota ban cloud seeding?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

16%

84%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

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Methodology and data sources

Kalshi publishes a fixed pool for each active incentive period. The card shows that period pool, the venue’s target size, and its discount factor without converting them into Polymarket rules.

Prices and 24-hour volume come from Kalshi’s live market feed. The reward catalog is refreshed every five minutes; market data is refreshed every minute.

Every reward market is matched against the catalog by its provider id.