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Polymarket Kalshi

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Rachel Campos-Duffy be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,761

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Roma Daravi be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $53.6K

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Steven Cheung be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $10.5K

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

29%

71%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $51.5K

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Spencer Pratt be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $14.8K

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Sage Steele be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $5,837

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Tucker Carlson be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

<1%

100%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $643

Kalshi$500 pool

Will New York J and New York G both make the playoffs in the 2026-27 Pro Football season?

Active until Sep 3, 8:16 PM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will the Buffalo Pro Football Team have a reported attendance of at least 60,108 in all home games in the 2026-27 regular season?

Active until Sep 3, 8:16 PM UTC

Yes

88%

12%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Tennessee complete the New Nissan Stadium before Mar 1, 2027?

Active until Sep 3, 8:33 PM UTC

Yes

61%

39%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will Jacksonville complete the renovation of EverBank Stadium before Sep 1, 2028?

Active until Sep 3, 8:16 PM UTC

Yes

34%

66%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Josh Allen be #1 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba be #1 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Myles Garrett be #1 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

86%

14%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $205

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Matthew Stafford be #1 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $37

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Myles Garrett be #2 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

13%

87%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Matthew Stafford be #2 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

42%

58%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $51

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba be #3 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $24

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Matthew Stafford be #3 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

40%

60%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bijan Robinson be Top 10 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Drake Maye be Top 10 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Josh Allen be Top 10 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba be Top 10 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Myles Garrett be Top 10 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Matthew Stafford be Top 10 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bijan Robinson be Top 25 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Myles Garrett be Top 25 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Matthew Stafford be Top 25 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Caleb Williams be Top 5 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Drake Maye be Top 5 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Josh Allen be Top 5 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $109

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Jahmyr Gibbs be Top 5 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba be Top 5 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

88%

12%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $113

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Myles Garrett be Top 5 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $935

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Matthew Stafford be Top 5 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

88%

12%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $105

Kalshi$200 pool

Mike Washington Jr. records 100+ rushing yards in a single game?

Active until Sep 8, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

31%

69%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $294

Kalshi$200 pool

Mike Washington Jr. records 500+ rushing yards?

Active until Sep 8, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

37%

63%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Ashton Jeanty play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

30%

70%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $285

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Alec Pierce play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

25%

75%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $616

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Breece Hall play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Chuba Hubbard play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

90%

10%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Christian McCaffrey play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $665

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Emeka Egbuka play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

53%

47%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $40

Kalshi$100 pool

Will George Kittle play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

26%

74%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $508

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Ja'Marr Chase play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 2, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $426

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Josh Jacobs play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

58%

42%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $3,302

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Jeremiyah Love play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

70%

30%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $231

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Jordyn Tyson play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Kenyon Sadiq play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

88%

12%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Luther Burden III play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

93%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,267

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Makai Lemon play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

91%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Malik Nabers play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

87%

13%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $78

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Patrick Mahomes play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $13

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Puka Nacua play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

90%

10%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Sam LaPorta play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

84%

16%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $858

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Tank Dell play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Tyler Warren play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Vita Vea play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $200

Kalshi$200 pool

Will alpine skier visits for the 2026–27 ski season be above 2,283,539 visits?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

39%

61%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will New Hampshire’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 be above 478.68?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

84%

16%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will New Hampshire’s maple syrup production in 2027 be above 130,000 gallons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

78%

22%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will New Hampshire’s maple syrup production in 2027 be above 140,000 gallons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

68%

32%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $250

Kalshi$200 pool

Will New Hampshire’s maple syrup production in 2027 be above 150,000 gallons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

46%

54%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will New Hampshire’s maple syrup production in 2027 be above 160,000 gallons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

22%

78%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will New Hampshire’s maple syrup production in 2027 be above 170,000 gallons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

10%

90%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will US new home sales for August 2026 be above 540,000?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

57%

43%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will US new home sales for August 2026 be above 560,000?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

56%

44%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will US new home sales for August 2026 be above 580,000?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

56%

44%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will US new home sales for August 2026 be above 600,000?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

51%

49%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will US new home sales for August 2026 be above 620,000?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will US new home sales for August 2026 be above 640,000?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will US new home sales for August 2026 be above 660,000?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will US new home sales for August 2026 be above 680,000?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

29%

71%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$230 pool

Will it be reported by a Source Agency that NHS England, the UK government, or another legally authorized contracting entity formally decides to end the NHS Federated Data Platform and Associated Services agreement as a whole with the Palantir-led supplier, either by exercising a break or termination right or by declining the next contractual extension before Apr 1, 2027?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

60%

40%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$230 pool

Will it be reported by a Source Agency that NHS England, the UK government, or another legally authorized contracting entity formally decides to end the NHS Federated Data Platform and Associated Services agreement as a whole with the Palantir-led supplier, either by exercising a break or termination right or by declining the next contractual extension before Feb 15, 2027?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

55%

45%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will NJ TRANSIT's systemwide monthly rail on-time performance, all causes (not the Amtrak-adjusted figure) be above 90 in November 2026?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

42%

58%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will New Jersey’s annual-average employment in Pharmaceutical and Medicine Manufacturing for 2026 be above 30,300 jobs?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

91%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will New Mexico’s field production of crude oil for 2026 be above 819.225 million barrels?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the Board of Regents of the University of Nebraska announce the pricing or closing of long-term bonds issued through the University of Nebraska Facilities Corporation totaling at least $250 million in aggregate principal amount, whose stated purposes include financing the Memorial Stadium "Big Red Rebuild" project before Jan 1, 2028?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

69%

31%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Nevada’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 be above 423.62?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

78%

22%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $80

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 47 million?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 48 million?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

91%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 49 million?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

88%

12%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 50 million?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

50%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 51 million?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

25%

75%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 52 million?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

16%

84%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 53 million?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 54 million?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,800?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $825

Kalshi$500 pool

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,900?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

82%

18%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,000?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

42%

58%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,100?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

25%

75%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,200?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

10%

90%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,300?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,040

Kalshi$500 pool

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,400?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,500?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series be above 4100000 in October 2026?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series be above 4200000 in October 2026?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

89%

11%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2

Kalshi$500 pool

Will NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series be above 4300000 in October 2026?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

62%

38%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series be above 4400000 in October 2026?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

17%

83%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

PreviousPage 27 of 46Next

Methodology and data sources

Kalshi publishes a fixed pool for each active incentive period. The card shows that period pool, the venue’s target size, and its discount factor without converting them into Polymarket rules.

Prices and 24-hour volume come from Kalshi’s live market feed. The reward catalog is refreshed every five minutes; market data is refreshed every minute.

Every reward market is matched against the catalog by its provider id.

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Rachel Campos-Duffy be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,761

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Roma Daravi be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $53.6K

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Steven Cheung be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $10.5K

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

29%

71%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $51.5K

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Spencer Pratt be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $14.8K

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Sage Steele be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $5,837

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Tucker Carlson be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

<1%

100%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $643

Kalshi$500 pool

Will New York J and New York G both make the playoffs in the 2026-27 Pro Football season?

Active until Sep 3, 8:16 PM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will the Buffalo Pro Football Team have a reported attendance of at least 60,108 in all home games in the 2026-27 regular season?

Active until Sep 3, 8:16 PM UTC

Yes

88%

12%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Tennessee complete the New Nissan Stadium before Mar 1, 2027?

Active until Sep 3, 8:33 PM UTC

Yes

61%

39%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will Jacksonville complete the renovation of EverBank Stadium before Sep 1, 2028?

Active until Sep 3, 8:16 PM UTC

Yes

34%

66%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Josh Allen be #1 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba be #1 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Myles Garrett be #1 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

86%

14%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $205

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Matthew Stafford be #1 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $37

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Myles Garrett be #2 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

13%

87%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Matthew Stafford be #2 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

42%

58%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $51

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba be #3 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $24

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Matthew Stafford be #3 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

40%

60%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bijan Robinson be Top 10 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Drake Maye be Top 10 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Josh Allen be Top 10 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba be Top 10 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Myles Garrett be Top 10 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Matthew Stafford be Top 10 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bijan Robinson be Top 25 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Myles Garrett be Top 25 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Matthew Stafford be Top 25 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Caleb Williams be Top 5 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Drake Maye be Top 5 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Josh Allen be Top 5 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $109

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Jahmyr Gibbs be Top 5 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba be Top 5 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

88%

12%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $113

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Myles Garrett be Top 5 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $935

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Matthew Stafford be Top 5 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

88%

12%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $105

Kalshi$200 pool

Mike Washington Jr. records 100+ rushing yards in a single game?

Active until Sep 8, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

31%

69%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $294

Kalshi$200 pool

Mike Washington Jr. records 500+ rushing yards?

Active until Sep 8, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

37%

63%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Ashton Jeanty play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

30%

70%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $285

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Alec Pierce play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

25%

75%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $616

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Breece Hall play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Chuba Hubbard play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

90%

10%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Christian McCaffrey play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $665

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Emeka Egbuka play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

53%

47%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $40

Kalshi$100 pool

Will George Kittle play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

26%

74%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $508

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Ja'Marr Chase play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 2, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $426

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Josh Jacobs play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

58%

42%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $3,302

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Jeremiyah Love play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

70%

30%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $231

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Jordyn Tyson play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Kenyon Sadiq play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

88%

12%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Luther Burden III play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

93%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,267

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Makai Lemon play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

91%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Malik Nabers play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

87%

13%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $78

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Patrick Mahomes play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $13

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Puka Nacua play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

90%

10%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Sam LaPorta play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

84%

16%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $858

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Tank Dell play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Tyler Warren play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Vita Vea play in a Pro Football game in Week 1?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $200

Kalshi$200 pool

Will alpine skier visits for the 2026–27 ski season be above 2,283,539 visits?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

39%

61%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will New Hampshire’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 be above 478.68?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

84%

16%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will New Hampshire’s maple syrup production in 2027 be above 130,000 gallons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

78%

22%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will New Hampshire’s maple syrup production in 2027 be above 140,000 gallons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

68%

32%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $250

Kalshi$200 pool

Will New Hampshire’s maple syrup production in 2027 be above 150,000 gallons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

46%

54%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will New Hampshire’s maple syrup production in 2027 be above 160,000 gallons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

22%

78%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will New Hampshire’s maple syrup production in 2027 be above 170,000 gallons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

10%

90%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will US new home sales for August 2026 be above 540,000?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

57%

43%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will US new home sales for August 2026 be above 560,000?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

56%

44%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will US new home sales for August 2026 be above 580,000?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

56%

44%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will US new home sales for August 2026 be above 600,000?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

51%

49%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will US new home sales for August 2026 be above 620,000?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will US new home sales for August 2026 be above 640,000?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will US new home sales for August 2026 be above 660,000?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will US new home sales for August 2026 be above 680,000?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

29%

71%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$230 pool

Will it be reported by a Source Agency that NHS England, the UK government, or another legally authorized contracting entity formally decides to end the NHS Federated Data Platform and Associated Services agreement as a whole with the Palantir-led supplier, either by exercising a break or termination right or by declining the next contractual extension before Apr 1, 2027?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

60%

40%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$230 pool

Will it be reported by a Source Agency that NHS England, the UK government, or another legally authorized contracting entity formally decides to end the NHS Federated Data Platform and Associated Services agreement as a whole with the Palantir-led supplier, either by exercising a break or termination right or by declining the next contractual extension before Feb 15, 2027?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

55%

45%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will NJ TRANSIT's systemwide monthly rail on-time performance, all causes (not the Amtrak-adjusted figure) be above 90 in November 2026?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

42%

58%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will New Jersey’s annual-average employment in Pharmaceutical and Medicine Manufacturing for 2026 be above 30,300 jobs?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

91%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will New Mexico’s field production of crude oil for 2026 be above 819.225 million barrels?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the Board of Regents of the University of Nebraska announce the pricing or closing of long-term bonds issued through the University of Nebraska Facilities Corporation totaling at least $250 million in aggregate principal amount, whose stated purposes include financing the Memorial Stadium "Big Red Rebuild" project before Jan 1, 2028?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

69%

31%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Nevada’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 be above 423.62?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

78%

22%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $80

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 47 million?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 48 million?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

91%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 49 million?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

88%

12%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 50 million?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

50%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 51 million?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

25%

75%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 52 million?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

16%

84%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 53 million?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 54 million?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,800?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $825

Kalshi$500 pool

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,900?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

82%

18%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,000?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

42%

58%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,100?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

25%

75%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,200?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

10%

90%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,300?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,040

Kalshi$500 pool

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,400?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,500?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series be above 4100000 in October 2026?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series be above 4200000 in October 2026?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

89%

11%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2

Kalshi$500 pool

Will NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series be above 4300000 in October 2026?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

62%

38%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series be above 4400000 in October 2026?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

17%

83%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

PreviousPage 27 of 46Next

Methodology and data sources

Kalshi publishes a fixed pool for each active incentive period. The card shows that period pool, the venue’s target size, and its discount factor without converting them into Polymarket rules.

Prices and 24-hour volume come from Kalshi’s live market feed. The reward catalog is refreshed every five minutes; market data is refreshed every minute.

Every reward market is matched against the catalog by its provider id.