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Polymarket Kalshi

Kalshi$100 pool

What will Donald Trump say during RNC Midterm Convention?

Active until Sep 25, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

75%

25%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

What will Donald Trump say during RNC Midterm Convention?

Active until Sep 25, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

75%

25%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

What will Donald Trump say during RNC Midterm Convention?

Active until Sep 25, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

75%

25%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

What will Donald Trump say during RNC Midterm Convention?

Active until Sep 25, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

76%

24%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $244

Kalshi$100 pool

What will Donald Trump say during RNC Midterm Convention?

Active until Sep 25, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

75%

25%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $243

Kalshi$100 pool

What will Donald Trump say during RNC Midterm Convention?

Active until Sep 25, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

76%

24%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $244

Kalshi$200 pool

Will it be reported by at least four of the seven Source Agencies named in Additional Details that President Donald Trump gives his next qualifying address to the nation, as defined in Additional Details before Dec 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

72%

28%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $805

Kalshi$200 pool

Will it be reported by at least four of the seven Source Agencies named in Additional Details that President Donald Trump gives his next qualifying address to the nation, as defined in Additional Details before Nov 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

39%

61%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $234

Kalshi$200 pool

Will it be reported by at least four of the seven Source Agencies named in Additional Details that President Donald Trump gives his next qualifying address to the nation, as defined in Additional Details before Oct 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

11%

89%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,563

Kalshi$200 pool

Will it be reported by at least four of the seven Source Agencies named in Additional Details that President Donald Trump gives his next qualifying address to the nation, as defined in Additional Details before Jan 1, 2027?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

81%

19%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Autopen / Auto Pen" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

16%

84%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,030

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Ballroom" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $140

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

40%

60%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,999

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Bibi / Netanyahu" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

39%

61%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,200

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

16%

84%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,033

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Cuba / Cuban" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $13.3K

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Fraud" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,075

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Golf / Golfer / Golfing" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

53%

47%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $833

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "JD / Vance" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $689

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Kamala" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

37%

63%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $339

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Karoline / Leavitt" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $47

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Landslide" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

50%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $745

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

10%

90%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,232

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Melania" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,946

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Newscum" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

16%

84%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,509

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

13%

87%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $562

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Prediction Market / Predictive Market" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $934

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Rigged Election / Stolen Election" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

38%

62%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,252

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $4,398

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Socialist / Socialism" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $3,145

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Soleimani" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

11%

89%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $677

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Stupid Question" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

13%

87%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,137

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

35%

65%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $798

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "TikTok" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

14%

86%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $530

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Transgender" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,946

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "UFO / UAP" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

13%

87%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $243

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Ukraine" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,728

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Uranium" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

10%

90%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $925

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Who are you with / Where are you from" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

44%

56%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,860

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Windmill" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

30%

70%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,280

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Zohran / Mamdani" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

19%

81%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,480

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Airbnb / ABNB" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $0

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Amazon / AMZN" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

30%

70%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,867

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Anthropic / Claude" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $100

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "BlackRock" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $136

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "ChatGPT / OpenAI" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $179

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Deere" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $520

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "DoorDash / DASH" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,250

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Meta" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

34%

66%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $282

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Nvidia / NVDA" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

12%

88%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,413

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Rigetti / RGTI" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $597

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "SpaceX / SPCX" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

28%

72%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,570

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "TikTok" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

15%

85%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $5

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Tesla / TSLA" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

93%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $186

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "TSMC / TSM" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $111

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Verizon" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

11%

89%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $731

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Antifa" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $411

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Epstein" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $502

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Fat shot / Ozempic" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

91%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $63

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Greenland" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

12%

88%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $667

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Gulf of America" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,759

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Knicks" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,976

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Make Iran Great Again" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,173

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Newscum" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

16%

84%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,921

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Nine War / Ninth War" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

93%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $162

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

14%

86%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,138

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Third Term" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

19%

81%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $729

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "UFO / UAP" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

13%

87%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $113

Kalshi$250 pool

Will Donald Trump sue Center for American Progress before 2027?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

17%

83%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$250 pool

Will Donald Trump sue Jeffrey Epstein's estate before 2027?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

12%

88%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$250 pool

Will Donald Trump sue Michael Wolff before 2027?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

12%

88%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$250 pool

Will Donald Trump sue Trevor Noah before 2027?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

15%

85%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $161

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Donald Trump make between 100 and 119 Truth Social posts the week of Aug 23, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 1:59 PM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 300 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $894

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Donald Trump make between 120 and 139 Truth Social posts the week of Aug 23, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 1:59 PM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 300 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $894

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Donald Trump make between 140 and 159 Truth Social posts the week of Aug 23, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 1:59 PM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 300 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $5,316

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Donald Trump make between 160 and 179 Truth Social posts the week of Aug 23, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 1:59 PM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 300 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,641

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Donald Trump make between 180 and 199 Truth Social posts the week of Aug 23, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 1:59 PM UTC

Yes

15%

85%

Target size: 300 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $3,341

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Donald Trump make between 200 and 219 Truth Social posts the week of Aug 23, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 1:59 PM UTC

Yes

24%

76%

Target size: 300 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $5,107

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Donald Trump make between 220 and 240 Truth Social posts the week of Aug 23, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 1:59 PM UTC

Yes

38%

62%

Target size: 300 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,651

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Donald Trump make between 80 and 99 Truth Social posts the week of Aug 23, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 1:59 PM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 300 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $894

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Donald Trump make above 240 Truth Social posts the week of Aug 23, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 1:59 PM UTC

Yes

22%

78%

Target size: 300 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $5,379

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Donald Trump make below 80 Truth Social posts the week of Aug 23, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 1:59 PM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 300 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,858

PreviousPage 36 of 50Next

Methodology and data sources

Kalshi publishes a fixed pool for each active incentive period. The card shows that period pool, the venue’s target size, and its discount factor without converting them into Polymarket rules.

Prices and 24-hour volume come from Kalshi’s live market feed. The reward catalog is refreshed every five minutes; market data is refreshed every minute.

18 programmes on this page rolled or closed before their market details loaded.

Every reward market is matched against the catalog by its provider id.

Kalshi$100 pool

What will Donald Trump say during RNC Midterm Convention?

Active until Sep 25, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

75%

25%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

What will Donald Trump say during RNC Midterm Convention?

Active until Sep 25, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

75%

25%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

What will Donald Trump say during RNC Midterm Convention?

Active until Sep 25, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

75%

25%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

What will Donald Trump say during RNC Midterm Convention?

Active until Sep 25, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

76%

24%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $244

Kalshi$100 pool

What will Donald Trump say during RNC Midterm Convention?

Active until Sep 25, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

75%

25%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $243

Kalshi$100 pool

What will Donald Trump say during RNC Midterm Convention?

Active until Sep 25, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

76%

24%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $244

Kalshi$200 pool

Will it be reported by at least four of the seven Source Agencies named in Additional Details that President Donald Trump gives his next qualifying address to the nation, as defined in Additional Details before Dec 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

72%

28%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $805

Kalshi$200 pool

Will it be reported by at least four of the seven Source Agencies named in Additional Details that President Donald Trump gives his next qualifying address to the nation, as defined in Additional Details before Nov 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

39%

61%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $234

Kalshi$200 pool

Will it be reported by at least four of the seven Source Agencies named in Additional Details that President Donald Trump gives his next qualifying address to the nation, as defined in Additional Details before Oct 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

11%

89%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,563

Kalshi$200 pool

Will it be reported by at least four of the seven Source Agencies named in Additional Details that President Donald Trump gives his next qualifying address to the nation, as defined in Additional Details before Jan 1, 2027?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

81%

19%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Autopen / Auto Pen" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

16%

84%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,030

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Ballroom" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $140

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

40%

60%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,999

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Bibi / Netanyahu" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

39%

61%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,200

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

16%

84%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,033

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Cuba / Cuban" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $13.3K

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Fraud" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,075

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Golf / Golfer / Golfing" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

53%

47%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $833

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "JD / Vance" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $689

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Kamala" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

37%

63%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $339

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Karoline / Leavitt" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $47

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Landslide" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

50%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $745

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

10%

90%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,232

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Melania" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,946

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Newscum" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

16%

84%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,509

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

13%

87%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $562

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Prediction Market / Predictive Market" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $934

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Rigged Election / Stolen Election" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

38%

62%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,252

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $4,398

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Socialist / Socialism" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $3,145

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Soleimani" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

11%

89%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $677

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Stupid Question" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

13%

87%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,137

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

35%

65%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $798

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "TikTok" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

14%

86%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $530

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Transgender" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,946

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "UFO / UAP" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

13%

87%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $243

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Ukraine" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,728

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Uranium" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

10%

90%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $925

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Who are you with / Where are you from" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

44%

56%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,860

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Windmill" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

30%

70%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,280

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Zohran / Mamdani" before Aug 31, 2026?

Active until Aug 31, 2:00 PM UTC

Yes

19%

81%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,480

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Airbnb / ABNB" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $0

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Amazon / AMZN" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

30%

70%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,867

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Anthropic / Claude" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $100

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "BlackRock" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $136

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "ChatGPT / OpenAI" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $179

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Deere" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $520

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "DoorDash / DASH" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,250

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Meta" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

34%

66%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $282

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Nvidia / NVDA" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

12%

88%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,413

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Rigetti / RGTI" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $597

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "SpaceX / SPCX" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

28%

72%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,570

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "TikTok" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

15%

85%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $5

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Tesla / TSLA" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

93%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $186

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "TSMC / TSM" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $111

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Verizon" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

11%

89%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $731

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Antifa" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $411

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Epstein" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $502

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Fat shot / Ozempic" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

91%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $63

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Greenland" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

12%

88%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $667

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Gulf of America" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,759

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Knicks" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,976

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Make Iran Great Again" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,173

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Newscum" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

16%

84%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,921

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Nine War / Ninth War" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

93%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $162

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

14%

86%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,138

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "Third Term" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

19%

81%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $729

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Trump say "UFO / UAP" before Sep 1, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

13%

87%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $113

Kalshi$250 pool

Will Donald Trump sue Center for American Progress before 2027?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

17%

83%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$250 pool

Will Donald Trump sue Jeffrey Epstein's estate before 2027?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

12%

88%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$250 pool

Will Donald Trump sue Michael Wolff before 2027?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

12%

88%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$250 pool

Will Donald Trump sue Trevor Noah before 2027?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

15%

85%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $161

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Donald Trump make between 100 and 119 Truth Social posts the week of Aug 23, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 1:59 PM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 300 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $894

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Donald Trump make between 120 and 139 Truth Social posts the week of Aug 23, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 1:59 PM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 300 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $894

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Donald Trump make between 140 and 159 Truth Social posts the week of Aug 23, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 1:59 PM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 300 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $5,316

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Donald Trump make between 160 and 179 Truth Social posts the week of Aug 23, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 1:59 PM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 300 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,641

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Donald Trump make between 180 and 199 Truth Social posts the week of Aug 23, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 1:59 PM UTC

Yes

15%

85%

Target size: 300 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $3,341

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Donald Trump make between 200 and 219 Truth Social posts the week of Aug 23, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 1:59 PM UTC

Yes

24%

76%

Target size: 300 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $5,107

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Donald Trump make between 220 and 240 Truth Social posts the week of Aug 23, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 1:59 PM UTC

Yes

38%

62%

Target size: 300 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,651

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Donald Trump make between 80 and 99 Truth Social posts the week of Aug 23, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 1:59 PM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 300 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $894

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Donald Trump make above 240 Truth Social posts the week of Aug 23, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 1:59 PM UTC

Yes

22%

78%

Target size: 300 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $5,379

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Donald Trump make below 80 Truth Social posts the week of Aug 23, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 1:59 PM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 300 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,858

PreviousPage 36 of 50Next

Methodology and data sources

Kalshi publishes a fixed pool for each active incentive period. The card shows that period pool, the venue’s target size, and its discount factor without converting them into Polymarket rules.

Prices and 24-hour volume come from Kalshi’s live market feed. The reward catalog is refreshed every five minutes; market data is refreshed every minute.

18 programmes on this page rolled or closed before their market details loaded.

Every reward market is matched against the catalog by its provider id.