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Polymarket Kalshi

Kalshi$200 pool

Will West Virginia’s total coal production for 2026 be above 72 million short tons?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will West Virginia’s total coal production for 2026 be above 74 million short tons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

91%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will West Virginia’s total coal production for 2026 be above 76 million short tons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

77%

23%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $3,596

Kalshi$200 pool

Will West Virginia’s total coal production for 2026 be above 78 million short tons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

60%

40%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $4,144

Kalshi$200 pool

Will West Virginia’s total coal production for 2026 be above 80 million short tons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

28%

72%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $5,029

Kalshi$200 pool

Will West Virginia’s total coal production for 2026 be above 82 million short tons?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

11%

89%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $45

Kalshi$200 pool

Will West Virginia’s total coal production for 2026 be above 84 million short tons?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will West Virginia's resident population estimate for July 1, 2026 be above 1,766,147?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

23%

77%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 180 MMst?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $174

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 190 MMst?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 200 MMst?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

86%

14%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 210 MMst?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

52%

48%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 220 MMst?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

20%

80%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 230 MMst?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

11%

89%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 240 MMst?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 250 MMst?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Wyoming's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for every month from July through December 2026 be below 3.5%?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

71%

29%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$165 pool

Xiaomi market share this week?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,854

Kalshi$165 pool

Xiaomi market share this week?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

81%

19%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,068

Kalshi$165 pool

Xiaomi market share this week?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

30%

70%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $247

Kalshi$165 pool

Xiaomi market share this week?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

35%

65%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$165 pool

Xiaomi market share this week?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$165 pool

Xiaomi market share this week?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,425

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Yellowstone National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 5 million?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

18%

82%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Barbaadi rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Barsaat rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Basinga Balaalu rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Dai Dai rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $4,276

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Golden rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will KALYANI (Remix) rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Life Goes On rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will @SaiAbhyankkar - Radhimaa (Music Video) | Bhagyashri Borse | Vivek | Thejo Bharathwaj | Think Indie rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Sebebi Yar rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Shararat rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Sunflower rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Taylor Swift Performance - The Icon Sessions at the Grammy Museum rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Tera Mera Rishta rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will 9 To 5 (Official Video) rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Choosin' Texas rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Dai Dai rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Dead Fresh rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Golden rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will ICONIC BY MISTAKE rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will I Will Always Love You rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Janice STFU rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Jolene (Official Audio) rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$40 pool

Will KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$40 pool

Will KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Life Goes On rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Sunflower rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Taylor Swift Performance - The Icon Sessions at the Grammy Museum rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026 rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Barbaadi rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Barsaat rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Basinga Balaalu rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Dai Dai rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Golden rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will KALYANI (Remix) rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

50%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1

Kalshi$40 pool

Will KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Life Goes On rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will @SaiAbhyankkar - Radhimaa (Music Video) | Bhagyashri Borse | Vivek | Thejo Bharathwaj | Think Indie rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Sebebi Yar rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Shararat rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Sunflower rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Taylor Swift Performance - The Icon Sessions at the Grammy Museum rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Tera Mera Rishta rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Ariana Grande have above 22M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $87

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Ariana Grande have above 23M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $56

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Ariana Grande have above 24M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $25

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Ariana Grande have above 25M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,981

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bad Bunny have above 31M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,082

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bad Bunny have above 32M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $3,154

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bad Bunny have above 33M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $350

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Drake have above 12.5M daily views in August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Drake have above 12.75M daily views in August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Drake have above 13M daily views in August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Drake have above 13.25M daily views in August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Drake have above 13.5M daily views in August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $23.4K

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Drake have above 13.75M daily views in August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $5,271

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Drake have above 14M daily views in August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $21

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Justin Bieber have above 17M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $80

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Justin Bieber have above 18M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,230

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Justin Bieber have above 19M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Justin Bieber have above 20M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Justin Bieber have above 21M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Michael Jackson have above 21.5M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Michael Jackson have above 22M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $459

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Michael Jackson have above 22.5M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $660

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Michael Jackson have above 23M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Michael Jackson have above 24M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,092

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Michael Jackson have above 25M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Michael Jackson have above 26M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,087

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Michael Jackson have above 27M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,335

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Michael Jackson have above 28M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Morgan Wallen have above 5.5M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,850

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Morgan Wallen have above 5.6M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $359

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Morgan Wallen have above 5.7M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $741

PreviousPage 44 of 46Next

Methodology and data sources

Kalshi publishes a fixed pool for each active incentive period. The card shows that period pool, the venue’s target size, and its discount factor without converting them into Polymarket rules.

Prices and 24-hour volume come from Kalshi’s live market feed. The reward catalog is refreshed every five minutes; market data is refreshed every minute.

Every reward market is matched against the catalog by its provider id.

Kalshi$200 pool

Will West Virginia’s total coal production for 2026 be above 72 million short tons?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will West Virginia’s total coal production for 2026 be above 74 million short tons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

91%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will West Virginia’s total coal production for 2026 be above 76 million short tons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

77%

23%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $3,596

Kalshi$200 pool

Will West Virginia’s total coal production for 2026 be above 78 million short tons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

60%

40%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $4,144

Kalshi$200 pool

Will West Virginia’s total coal production for 2026 be above 80 million short tons?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

28%

72%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $5,029

Kalshi$200 pool

Will West Virginia’s total coal production for 2026 be above 82 million short tons?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

11%

89%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $45

Kalshi$200 pool

Will West Virginia’s total coal production for 2026 be above 84 million short tons?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will West Virginia's resident population estimate for July 1, 2026 be above 1,766,147?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

23%

77%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 180 MMst?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $174

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 190 MMst?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

92%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 200 MMst?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

86%

14%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 210 MMst?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

52%

48%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 220 MMst?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

20%

80%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 230 MMst?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

11%

89%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 240 MMst?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 250 MMst?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Wyoming's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for every month from July through December 2026 be below 3.5%?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

71%

29%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$165 pool

Xiaomi market share this week?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,854

Kalshi$165 pool

Xiaomi market share this week?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

81%

19%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,068

Kalshi$165 pool

Xiaomi market share this week?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

30%

70%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $247

Kalshi$165 pool

Xiaomi market share this week?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

35%

65%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$165 pool

Xiaomi market share this week?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$165 pool

Xiaomi market share this week?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,425

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Yellowstone National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 5 million?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

18%

82%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Barbaadi rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Barsaat rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Basinga Balaalu rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Dai Dai rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $4,276

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Golden rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will KALYANI (Remix) rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Life Goes On rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will @SaiAbhyankkar - Radhimaa (Music Video) | Bhagyashri Borse | Vivek | Thejo Bharathwaj | Think Indie rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Sebebi Yar rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Shararat rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Sunflower rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Taylor Swift Performance - The Icon Sessions at the Grammy Museum rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Tera Mera Rishta rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

99%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will 9 To 5 (Official Video) rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Choosin' Texas rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Dai Dai rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Dead Fresh rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Golden rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will ICONIC BY MISTAKE rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will I Will Always Love You rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Janice STFU rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Jolene (Official Audio) rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$40 pool

Will KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$40 pool

Will KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Life Goes On rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Sunflower rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Taylor Swift Performance - The Icon Sessions at the Grammy Museum rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026 rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Barbaadi rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Barsaat rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Basinga Balaalu rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Dai Dai rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Golden rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will KALYANI (Remix) rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

50%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1

Kalshi$40 pool

Will KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Life Goes On rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will @SaiAbhyankkar - Radhimaa (Music Video) | Bhagyashri Borse | Vivek | Thejo Bharathwaj | Think Indie rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Sebebi Yar rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Shararat rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Sunflower rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

45%

55%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Taylor Swift Performance - The Icon Sessions at the Grammy Museum rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Tera Mera Rishta rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,000

Kalshi$40 pool

Will Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 28, 2026?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Ariana Grande have above 22M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $87

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Ariana Grande have above 23M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $56

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Ariana Grande have above 24M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $25

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Ariana Grande have above 25M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,981

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bad Bunny have above 31M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,082

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bad Bunny have above 32M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $3,154

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bad Bunny have above 33M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $350

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Drake have above 12.5M daily views in August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Drake have above 12.75M daily views in August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Drake have above 13M daily views in August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Drake have above 13.25M daily views in August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

100%

<1%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Drake have above 13.5M daily views in August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $23.4K

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Drake have above 13.75M daily views in August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $5,271

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Drake have above 14M daily views in August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $21

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Justin Bieber have above 17M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $80

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Justin Bieber have above 18M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,230

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Justin Bieber have above 19M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Justin Bieber have above 20M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Justin Bieber have above 21M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Michael Jackson have above 21.5M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Michael Jackson have above 22M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $459

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Michael Jackson have above 22.5M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $660

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Michael Jackson have above 23M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Michael Jackson have above 24M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,092

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Michael Jackson have above 25M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Michael Jackson have above 26M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2,087

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Michael Jackson have above 27M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,335

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Michael Jackson have above 28M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Morgan Wallen have above 5.5M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,850

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Morgan Wallen have above 5.6M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $359

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Morgan Wallen have above 5.7M daily views at any point during August 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 4:16 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $741

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Methodology and data sources

Kalshi publishes a fixed pool for each active incentive period. The card shows that period pool, the venue’s target size, and its discount factor without converting them into Polymarket rules.

Prices and 24-hour volume come from Kalshi’s live market feed. The reward catalog is refreshed every five minutes; market data is refreshed every minute.

Every reward market is matched against the catalog by its provider id.