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Polymarket Kalshi

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Polymarket Kalshi

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Richard Madden be the next James Bond?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Robert Pattinson be the next James Bond?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $47

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Scott Rose-Marsh be the next James Bond?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Theo James be the next James Bond?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,941

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Tom Hardy be the next James Bond?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $502

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Tom Blyth be the next James Bond?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Tom Francis be the next James Bond?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $9,335

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Tom Holland be the next James Bond?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $3,213

Kalshi$200 pool

Will new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in 2026 be above 1,100 units?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in 2026 be above 1,250 units?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

84%

16%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in 2026 be above 1,400 units?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

28%

72%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in 2026 be above 1,550 units?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

17%

83%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in 2026 be above 1,700 units?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

93%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in 2026 be above 950 units?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will BP Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 101 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will BP Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 103.5 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will BP Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 105.5 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will BP Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 107.5 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will BP Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 109.5 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will BP Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 111.5 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will BP Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 114 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will BP Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 117 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will BP Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 98 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

50%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$300 pool

Will Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 be exactly 4?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

13%

87%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $709

Kalshi$300 pool

Will Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 be exactly 5?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

70%

30%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$300 pool

Will Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 be exactly 6?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

91%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $8

Kalshi$300 pool

Will Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 be 7 or more?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

13%

87%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,505

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bitcoin be above $85,000 by Aug 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

47%

53%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $60

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bitcoin be above $85,000 by Dec 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

47%

53%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $17

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bitcoin be above $85,000 by Nov 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

59%

41%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bitcoin be above $85,000 by Oct 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

56%

44%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bitcoin be above $85,000 by Oct 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

53%

47%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bitcoin be above $85,000 by Sep 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $72

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bitcoin be above $85,000 by Sep 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

51%

49%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $192

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bitcoin be above $85,000 by Sep 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

50%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bitcoin be above $85,000 by Feb 5, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

73%

27%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bitcoin be above $85,000 by May 14, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

75%

25%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will above 13500000 people enter Broadway performances in New York City in The 2026–27 Broadway season?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will above 13750000 people enter Broadway performances in New York City in The 2026–27 Broadway season?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will above 14000000 people enter Broadway performances in New York City in The 2026–27 Broadway season?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

90%

10%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will above 14250000 people enter Broadway performances in New York City in The 2026–27 Broadway season?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

83%

17%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will above 14500000 people enter Broadway performances in New York City in The 2026–27 Broadway season?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

71%

29%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will above 14600000 people enter Broadway performances in New York City in The 2026–27 Broadway season?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $15

Kalshi$500 pool

Will above 14700000 people enter Broadway performances in New York City in The 2026–27 Broadway season?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

43%

57%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will above 14800000 people enter Broadway performances in New York City in The 2026–27 Broadway season?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

35%

65%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 100,000?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 105,000?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

90%

10%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 110,000?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

61%

39%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 115,000?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

20%

80%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 120,000?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

91%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 125,000?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 be above 680,000?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 be above 690,000?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 be above 700,000?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

84%

16%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 be above 710,000?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

50%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 be above 720,000?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

91%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 be above 730,000?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

93%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 be above 740,000?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

86%

14%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $726

Kalshi$500 pool

Will California’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only HPI for Q4 2026 be above 419.85?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

52%

48%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $28

Kalshi$500 pool

Will the California High-Speed Rail Authority announce that permanent mainline track installation on the Central Valley high-speed rail guideway has physically begun (rail laid on the running alignment, not materials staging, railhead or yard trackwork, or a declared "track-laying phase") before Jan 1, 2027?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

61%

39%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $43

Kalshi$200 pool

Will John Roggeveen win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kyle Campbell win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

16%

84%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kyle Joseph win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Mike Derry win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

82%

18%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the Maryland Board of Public Works announce final approval of a ground lease and its accompanying development plan granting the Baltimore Orioles or an affiliate the right to develop the state-owned land north of Lee Street at the Camden Yards Sports Complex before Jan 1, 2028?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

26%

74%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$285 pool

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States has in effect tariffs of 50% on Canadian cars, trucks, automotive parts and steel before Jan 2, 2027?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

24%

76%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$285 pool

Will it be reported by the Department of Finance Canada or the Canada Gazette that Canada's countertariffs on United States steel, dairy and appliances have taken effect before Sep 9, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

63%

37%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of Alberta calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

44%

56%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of British Columbia calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

44%

56%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of Manitoba calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

44%

56%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of New Brunswick calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

41%

59%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of Newfoundland and Labrador calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

42%

58%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of Nova Scotia calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

40%

60%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of Ontario calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

38%

62%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of Prince Edward Island calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

39%

61%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of Quebec calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

39%

61%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of Saskatchewan calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

40%

60%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$285 pool

Will it be reported by the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California or the California Department of Justice that the California Attorney General and Paramount Skydance file a stipulated settlement or consent judgment resolving California's lawsuit over the Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition before Jun 4, 2027?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

61%

39%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$85 pool

Will the Czech National Bank Cut 25bps at the September Bank Board monetary policy meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $5

Kalshi$85 pool

Will the Czech National Bank Cut 50bps at the September Bank Board monetary policy meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$85 pool

Will the Czech National Bank Cut more than 50bps at the September Bank Board monetary policy meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$85 pool

Will the Czech National Bank Hike 25bps at the September Bank Board monetary policy meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

24%

76%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $5

Kalshi$85 pool

Will the Czech National Bank Hike 50bps at the September Bank Board monetary policy meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$85 pool

Will the Czech National Bank Hike more than 50bps at the September Bank Board monetary policy meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1

Kalshi$85 pool

Will the Czech National Bank Maintain current rate at the September Bank Board monetary policy meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

47%

53%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $7

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the Bank of England Cut 1-25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

23%

77%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $221

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the Bank of England Cut more than 25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

28%

72%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $126

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the Bank of England Hike 1-25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

15%

85%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $51

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the Bank of England Hike more than 25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $55

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the Bank of England Maintain current rate at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

33%

67%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $61

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the Bank of England Cut 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $100

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the Bank of England Cut more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

21%

79%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $114

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the Bank of England Hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

93%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $355

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the Bank of England Hike more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $167

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the Bank of England Maintain current rate at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

70%

30%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $10

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the European Central Bank Cut 1-25bps at the December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

19%

81%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the European Central Bank Cut more than 25bps at the December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

19%

81%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the European Central Bank Hike 1-25bps at the December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

31%

69%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the European Central Bank Hike more than 25bps at the December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

24%

76%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

PreviousPage 9 of 45Next

Methodology and data sources

Kalshi publishes a fixed pool for each active incentive period. The card shows that period pool, the venue’s target size, and its discount factor without converting them into Polymarket rules.

Prices and 24-hour volume come from Kalshi’s live market feed. The reward catalog is refreshed every five minutes; market data is refreshed every minute.

Every reward market is matched against the catalog by its provider id.

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Richard Madden be the next James Bond?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Robert Pattinson be the next James Bond?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $47

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Scott Rose-Marsh be the next James Bond?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $2

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Theo James be the next James Bond?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,941

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Tom Hardy be the next James Bond?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $502

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Tom Blyth be the next James Bond?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Tom Francis be the next James Bond?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $9,335

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Tom Holland be the next James Bond?

Active until Sep 3, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $3,213

Kalshi$200 pool

Will new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in 2026 be above 1,100 units?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in 2026 be above 1,250 units?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

84%

16%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in 2026 be above 1,400 units?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

28%

72%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in 2026 be above 1,550 units?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

17%

83%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in 2026 be above 1,700 units?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

93%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in 2026 be above 950 units?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will BP Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 101 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will BP Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 103.5 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will BP Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 105.5 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will BP Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 107.5 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will BP Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 109.5 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will BP Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 111.5 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will BP Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 114 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will BP Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 117 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$65 pool

Will BP Monthly Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 98 ?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

50%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$300 pool

Will Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 be exactly 4?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

13%

87%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $709

Kalshi$300 pool

Will Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 be exactly 5?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

70%

30%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$300 pool

Will Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 be exactly 6?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

91%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $8

Kalshi$300 pool

Will Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 be 7 or more?

Active until Aug 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

13%

87%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1,505

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bitcoin be above $85,000 by Aug 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Active until Aug 29, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

47%

53%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $60

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bitcoin be above $85,000 by Dec 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

47%

53%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $17

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bitcoin be above $85,000 by Nov 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

59%

41%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bitcoin be above $85,000 by Oct 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

56%

44%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bitcoin be above $85,000 by Oct 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

53%

47%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bitcoin be above $85,000 by Sep 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

49%

51%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $72

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bitcoin be above $85,000 by Sep 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

51%

49%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $192

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bitcoin be above $85,000 by Sep 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

50%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bitcoin be above $85,000 by Feb 5, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

73%

27%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will Bitcoin be above $85,000 by May 14, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

75%

25%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will above 13500000 people enter Broadway performances in New York City in The 2026–27 Broadway season?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will above 13750000 people enter Broadway performances in New York City in The 2026–27 Broadway season?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will above 14000000 people enter Broadway performances in New York City in The 2026–27 Broadway season?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

90%

10%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will above 14250000 people enter Broadway performances in New York City in The 2026–27 Broadway season?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

83%

17%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will above 14500000 people enter Broadway performances in New York City in The 2026–27 Broadway season?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

71%

29%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will above 14600000 people enter Broadway performances in New York City in The 2026–27 Broadway season?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

48%

52%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $15

Kalshi$500 pool

Will above 14700000 people enter Broadway performances in New York City in The 2026–27 Broadway season?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

43%

57%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will above 14800000 people enter Broadway performances in New York City in The 2026–27 Broadway season?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

35%

65%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 100,000?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 105,000?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

90%

10%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 110,000?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

61%

39%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 115,000?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

20%

80%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 120,000?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

91%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 125,000?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 be above 680,000?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 be above 690,000?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 be above 700,000?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

84%

16%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 be above 710,000?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

50%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 be above 720,000?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

91%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 be above 730,000?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

93%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$500 pool

Will total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 be above 740,000?

Active until Sep 4, 3:19 PM UTC

Yes

94%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?

Active until Sep 1, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

86%

14%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $726

Kalshi$500 pool

Will California’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only HPI for Q4 2026 be above 419.85?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

52%

48%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $28

Kalshi$500 pool

Will the California High-Speed Rail Authority announce that permanent mainline track installation on the Central Valley high-speed rail guideway has physically begun (rail laid on the running alignment, not materials staging, railhead or yard trackwork, or a declared "track-laying phase") before Jan 1, 2027?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

61%

39%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $43

Kalshi$200 pool

Will John Roggeveen win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kyle Campbell win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

16%

84%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Kyle Joseph win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will Mike Derry win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

82%

18%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$200 pool

Will the Maryland Board of Public Works announce final approval of a ground lease and its accompanying development plan granting the Baltimore Orioles or an affiliate the right to develop the state-owned land north of Lee Street at the Camden Yards Sports Complex before Jan 1, 2028?

Active until Sep 6, 4:01 AM UTC

Yes

26%

74%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$285 pool

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States has in effect tariffs of 50% on Canadian cars, trucks, automotive parts and steel before Jan 2, 2027?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

24%

76%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$285 pool

Will it be reported by the Department of Finance Canada or the Canada Gazette that Canada's countertariffs on United States steel, dairy and appliances have taken effect before Sep 9, 2026?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

63%

37%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of Alberta calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

44%

56%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of British Columbia calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

44%

56%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of Manitoba calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

44%

56%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of New Brunswick calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

41%

59%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of Newfoundland and Labrador calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

42%

58%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of Nova Scotia calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

40%

60%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of Ontario calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

38%

62%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of Prince Edward Island calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

39%

61%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of Quebec calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

39%

61%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$100 pool

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the government of Saskatchewan calls a snap provincial election before Jan 1, 2028?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

40%

60%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$285 pool

Will it be reported by the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California or the California Department of Justice that the California Attorney General and Paramount Skydance file a stipulated settlement or consent judgment resolving California's lawsuit over the Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition before Jun 4, 2027?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

61%

39%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$85 pool

Will the Czech National Bank Cut 25bps at the September Bank Board monetary policy meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $5

Kalshi$85 pool

Will the Czech National Bank Cut 50bps at the September Bank Board monetary policy meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$85 pool

Will the Czech National Bank Cut more than 50bps at the September Bank Board monetary policy meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$85 pool

Will the Czech National Bank Hike 25bps at the September Bank Board monetary policy meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

24%

76%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $5

Kalshi$85 pool

Will the Czech National Bank Hike 50bps at the September Bank Board monetary policy meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$85 pool

Will the Czech National Bank Hike more than 50bps at the September Bank Board monetary policy meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

98%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $1

Kalshi$85 pool

Will the Czech National Bank Maintain current rate at the September Bank Board monetary policy meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

47%

53%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $7

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the Bank of England Cut 1-25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

23%

77%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $221

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the Bank of England Cut more than 25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

28%

72%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $126

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the Bank of England Hike 1-25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

15%

85%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $51

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the Bank of England Hike more than 25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

95%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $55

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the Bank of England Maintain current rate at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

33%

67%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $61

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the Bank of England Cut 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

96%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $100

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the Bank of England Cut more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

21%

79%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $114

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the Bank of England Hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

93%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $355

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the Bank of England Hike more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

97%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $167

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the Bank of England Maintain current rate at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

70%

30%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: $10

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the European Central Bank Cut 1-25bps at the December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

19%

81%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the European Central Bank Cut more than 25bps at the December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

19%

81%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the European Central Bank Hike 1-25bps at the December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

31%

69%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

Kalshi$160 pool

Will the European Central Bank Hike more than 25bps at the December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?

Active until Aug 30, 3:59 AM UTC

Yes

24%

76%

Target size: 1,000 contracts
Discount factor: 5,000 bps
24h volume: —

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Methodology and data sources

Kalshi publishes a fixed pool for each active incentive period. The card shows that period pool, the venue’s target size, and its discount factor without converting them into Polymarket rules.

Prices and 24-hour volume come from Kalshi’s live market feed. The reward catalog is refreshed every five minutes; market data is refreshed every minute.

Every reward market is matched against the catalog by its provider id.