The attached market is pricing Will Tarik Skubal win AL Cy Young? at 1%. Likely catalyst: Tarik Skubal makes eagerily anticipated Dodger Stadium debut: ‘Electric night’ (Yahoo Sports). Caveats: weak market link, thin evidence.
Source-grounded assessments in backend rank order.
The attached market is pricing Will Tarik Skubal win AL Cy Young? at 1%. Likely catalyst: Tarik Skubal makes eagerily anticipated Dodger Stadium debut: ‘Electric night’ (Yahoo Sports). Caveats: weak market link, thin evidence.
The attached market is pricing Will the gold close price be above 4411.99 USD/t.oz on August 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? at 90%. Likely catalyst: Key Events This Week: CPI, PPI, Retail Sales (Zero Hedge). Related market evidence conflicts with the primary pricing move, so this needs comparison before…
The attached market is pricing Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $91.50 by Aug 31, 2026? at 22%. Likely catalyst: Price of Brent oil surpasses $85 per barrel on London’s ICE first since August 4 (TASS). Caveats: weak market link, thin evidence.
The attached market is pricing Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Jan 1, 2027? at 11%. Likely catalyst: Coruna, DarkSword iOS Exploits Proliferate Globally (Dark Reading). Market impact is not confirmed by a durable odds move yet. Related market evidence conflicts with the primary pricing…
The attached market is pricing Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Oct 1, 2026? at 7%. Likely catalyst: Ahead of iPhone 18 Pro launch, report says Apple Watch may soon get a big design upgrade (India Today). Market impact is not confirmed by a durable odds move yet. Related market evidence…
Source: Emiliana Arango vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich live score. No directly matched market yet. Caveats: thin evidence, stale evidence.
Source: Red Sox vs. Blue Jays (Aug 12. No directly matched market yet. Caveats: thin evidence, stale evidence.
Source: No directly matched market yet. Caveats: thin evidence, stale evidence.
Source: Moez Echargui vs Michael Zheng live score. No directly matched market yet. Caveats: thin evidence, stale evidence.
The attached market is pricing Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? at 68.5%. Uncorroborated social discovery is attached, but no confirmed catalyst has been established yet. Related market evidence conflicts with the primary pricing move, so this needs comparison before action. Caveats: weak…
Source: getX Search macro_prints. No directly matched market yet. Uncorroborated social discovery is attached, but no confirmed catalyst has been established yet. Caveats: thin evidence, stale evidence.
Source: Yahoo Sports. No directly matched market yet. Caveats: thin evidence, stale evidence.
The attached market is pricing Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $91.50 by Aug 31, 2026? at 22%. Likely catalyst: Price of Brent oil surpasses $85 per barrel on London’s ICE first since August 4 (TASS). Caveats: weak market link, thin evidence.
Kalshi
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $91.50 by Aug 31, 2026?
