NoTrump out as President by August 31?
+$79
99¢ → 100¢
$22.0K
Aug 31
Performance
+$359.2K
+$358.9K in selected range
Sampled public P&L series · 180 of 255 daily observations
Through Aug 25, 2026
P&L ended at +$359.2K, a change of +$358.9K in the selected range. High +$361.4K; low +$260; through Aug 25, 2026. Sampled public P&L series.
23 active positions
NoTrump out as President by August 31?
+$79
99¢ → 100¢
$22.0K
Aug 31
NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
+$120
91¢ → 93¢
$11.1K
Jan 1
NoWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?
+$151
99¢ → 100¢
$11.0K
Sep 1NoWill Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August?
+$88
99¢ → 100¢
$10.2K
Sep 1NoWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
+$53
99¢ → 100¢
$8.5K
Sep 1
NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
+$75
97¢ → 98¢
$7.4K
Oct 1
NoWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
+$6.73
95¢ → 95¢
$5.0K
Jan 1NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
+$527
86¢ → 96¢
$4.9K
Jan 1NoTrump out as President before 2027?
+$25
93¢ → 94¢
$4.7K
Dec 31
NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
+$317
75¢ → 84¢
$3.1K
Dec 31
NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
+$7.70
99¢ → 99¢
$3.0K
Sep 16
No2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
+$75
50¢ → 52¢
$2.6K
Nov 3