Observed market move+4 pts
91%→95%
Measured over 1h · Holding at the new level.
Up 4 pts to 95%.
Measured over 1h · Holding at the new level.
Credibility: medium (0.68) · Source Before Move — not confirmed causal
Signal Kosmos read
Will the gold close price be above 4317 USD/t.oz on August… moved from 91% to 95%. Likely catalyst: Zero Hedge.
Provenance
| Age | Type | Source | Detail | Price move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15d | Market move | marketshockinternal | Market move: Will the gold close price be above 4317 USD/t.oz on August 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? | 91% → 95% |
| 15d | News article | Zero Hedgeexternal | Key Events This Week: CPI, PPI, Retail Sales | — |
| 15d | Milestone | system | Signal created | — |
1 of 2 rows are the market re-reporting its own price ticks (highlighted rows are independent external sources) — matches counts.non_market_sources: 1.