Ameriprise Financial
Stock · Financials · Asset Management & Custody Banks
$558.75
−$5.64 (-1.00%)
As of Aug 21, 3:06 PM
Price history
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SEC-linkedKalshi · 6.9M 24H volume · Close date Jan 20, 2029 · Trading closed
Judy Shelton's unorthodox inflation views could shift Fed rate expectations, directly affecting the interest rates and credit markets that Ameriprise flags in its 10-K as key drivers of fee revenues, annuity valuations, and hedge performance.
How to track
Watch this market's YES odds alongside 10-year Treasury yields and AMP's asset-based fee disclosures in quarterly filings.
SEC-linkedPolymarket · 3.0M 24H volume · Close date Oct 31, 2026 · Trading closed
Shelton's confirmation could shift Fed policy and inflation expectations, affecting interest rates and equity markets — both directly drive Ameriprise's asset-based fees and annuity valuations per its 10-K risk disclosures.
How to track
Watch this market's YES odds alongside 10-year Treasury yields and equity index levels, which Ameriprise's 10-K flags as key drivers of its fee revenue and annuity values.
RatesPolymarket · 42.4K 24H volume · Close date Dec 9, 2026 · Trading closed
Rising rates boost bank net interest margins (lending income rises faster than deposit costs), but also pressure bond portfolio marks, slow loan demand, and raise credit default risk — net impact depends heavily on the sector's mix of lending vs. fee and insurance businesses.
How to track
Watch Fed rate decisions and 10-yr Treasury yield for the theme, XLF for sector moves, and this market's YES odds for crowdsourced rate-path conviction.
LaborKalshi · 1.7K 24H volume · Close date Jul 30, 2026 · Trading closed
AMP (Asset Management & Custody Banks): included because labor-market outcomes can affect wages, availability, demand, and operating costs.
RecessionBid 8¢ · Ask 9¢
Polymarket · 2.3K 24H volume · Closes Jan 31, 2027 · Open
Recessions hurt Financials via rising loan defaults, shrinking credit demand, and compressed net interest margins as rates fall. But defensive positioning can boost demand for conservative financial products like insurance and government bonds, partially offsetting losses dependi…
How to track
Watch GDP prints, credit default rates, and loan growth data alongside XLF (Financials ETF) and this market's YES odds for shifting sentiment.
InflationKalshi · Closes Sep 11, 2026 · Open
AMP (Asset Management & Custody Banks): inflation drives the rate policy that reshapes margins, credit, and asset values…
Public HealthBid 2¢ · Ask 3¢
Kalshi · 13.0K 24H volume · Closes Jan 1, 2027 · Open
Health crises can boost demand for insurance products (life, health, disability), lifting premiums and assets under management; but they also spike claims payouts and trigger credit deterioration in loan books as households and businesses face income stress.
How to track
Watch CDC outbreak data and unemployment claims for stress signals; track XLF (Financials ETF) and this market's YES odds together.
