Aon plc
Stock · Financials · Insurance Brokers
$355.83
+$3.60 (+1.02%)
As of Aug 21, 3:05 PM
Price history
Historical prices are not available yet
The latest quote remains visible above. The chart will appear when the reference feed has at least two observations.
SEC-linkedPolymarket · 65 24H volume · Close date Jul 29, 2026 · Trading closed
AON (Insurance Brokers) discloses SEC-backed foreign exchange exposure: "7 billion in 2024, reflecting 6% organic revenue growth, acquired revenues from NFP, and a favorable impact from foreign currency translatio"; the impact can be mixed or context-dependent.
SEC-linkedKalshi · Closes Dec 31, 2026 · Open
AON (Insurance Brokers) discloses SEC-backed foreign exchange exposure: "7 billion in 2024, reflecting 6% organic revenue growth, acquired revenues from NFP, and a favorable impact from foreign currency translatio"; the impact can be mixed or context-dependent.
RatesPolymarket · 42.4K 24H volume · Close date Dec 9, 2026 · Trading closed
Rising rates boost bank net interest margins (lending income rises faster than deposit costs), but also pressure bond portfolio marks, slow loan demand, and raise credit default risk — net impact depends heavily on the sector's mix of lending vs. fee and insurance businesses.
How to track
Watch Fed rate decisions and 10-yr Treasury yield for the theme, XLF for sector moves, and this market's YES odds for crowdsourced rate-path conviction.
LaborKalshi · 1.7K 24H volume · Close date Jul 30, 2026 · Trading closed
AON (Insurance Brokers): included because labor-market outcomes can affect wages, availability, demand, and operating costs.
Hurricanes WeatherBid 0¢ · Ask 1¢
Kalshi · Closes Dec 1, 2026 · Open
Severe weather drives insurance claim surges, pressuring underwriters' loss ratios, while also boosting demand for catastrophe bonds and weather-risk products that benefit capital markets units. Net effect depends on the sector's mix of P&C insurance vs. investment banking.
How to track
Watch NOAA seasonal outlooks and catastrophe loss reports; track XLF or KIE (insurer ETF) alongside this market's YES odds for shifts.
RecessionBid 8¢ · Ask 9¢
Polymarket · 2.3K 24H volume · Closes Jan 31, 2027 · Open
Recessions hurt Financials via rising loan defaults, shrinking credit demand, and compressed net interest margins as rates fall. But defensive positioning can boost demand for conservative financial products like insurance and government bonds, partially offsetting losses dependi…
How to track
Watch GDP prints, credit default rates, and loan growth data alongside XLF (Financials ETF) and this market's YES odds for shifting sentiment.
InflationKalshi · Closes Sep 11, 2026 · Open
AON (Insurance Brokers): inflation drives the rate policy that reshapes margins, credit, and asset values…
Public HealthBid 2¢ · Ask 3¢
Kalshi · 13.0K 24H volume · Closes Jan 1, 2027 · Open
Public health crises can hurt Financials via rising loan defaults, credit losses, and reduced consumer/business borrowing demand. But insurers may benefit from repricing premiums higher, and government stimulus during crises can boost liquidity and trading revenues.
How to track
Watch CDC health alerts, credit-loss provisions in bank earnings, and the XLF sector ETF alongside this market's YES odds.
