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Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? · 6% chance · Kosmos

culture

KalshiCloses in 6mo

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize?

Current chance

6%

Pope Leo XIV

1h move: 0%
24h volume: 1.7K contracts
Closes: Closes in 6mo

Contract

Stale · 72h ago

Kalshi

Pope Leo XIV

Closes in 6moculture

Current probability

6%

6c YES

94c NO

Quote tape

Yes: 6c
No: 94c
1h move: 0%
Yes bid: 4c
Yes ask

6c

No bid

94c

No ask

96c

Spread

2c

24h range

6% - 7%

Market data

24h volume: 1.7K contracts
Total volume: 28.1K contracts
Open interest: 17.5K contracts
Opened: May 11, 2026
Closes: Jan 1, 2027
Status: active

Venue feeds

Kalshi

Pope Leo XIV and No probability

Market data

Liquidity, pricing and contract timing

Total volume: 28.1K contracts
24h volume: 1.7K contracts
Open interest: 17.5K contracts
Yes bid: 4¢
Yes ask: 6¢
No bid: 94¢
No ask: 96¢
Spread: 2¢
24h high: 7%
24h low: 6%
Opened: May 11, 2026
Closes: Jan 1, 2027
Status: active
Source updated: Jul 8, 2026

Resolution rules

What must happen for this contract to settle

If Pope Leo XIV wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market discussion

Public trader commentary linked to this contract

Kosmos readpending

No generated read is attached yet.

The rail will populate once Kosmos has a fresh market move, linked news, or provider context.

Asharq Al-Awsat28d

Pope’s Plane in Spain Delayed by Technical Glitch

Pope Leo XIV's departure from Tenerife at the end of a week-long visit to Spain was delayed Friday by a technical problem with the plane which led him to disembark, according to…

Pope tells traffickers of migrants: Stop, repent or face God's wrath

Pope Leo XIV is warning human traffickers that they will face God’s wrath for exploiting the desperation of migrants

Pope Leo defends migrants at 'dock of shame' in Spain

Pope Leo XIV visited the Canary Islands on Thursday, where he issued a forceful defense of migrants.

Channel News Asia29d

Pope condemns 'indifference' towards migrants on Canaries trip

The meeting took place during Pope Leo XIV’s week-long trip to Spain, where he highlighted the dangers faced by migrants crossing to the Canary Islands.

getX Search osint_lowtrust30d

An AI-generated time-lapse imagines the Sagrada Família's full journey, from its early days to projected completion in the 2030s. Yesterday marked…

An AI-generated time-lapse imagines the Sagrada Família's full journey, from its early days to projected completion in the 2030s. Yesterday marked 100 years since Antoni Gaudí's…

BBC Top Stories30d

Fireworks illuminate Barcelona's Sagrada Família during Pope visit

Pope Leo XIV says Barcelona's iconic Sagrada Família is a masterpiece of "stones, colours and light" during his visit to Spain.

Watch: Thousands fill Barcelona streets for Pope Leo visit

Pope Leo XIV visited Barcelona's iconic Sagrada Família basilica as part of his week-long visit to Spain.

CBS News Latest30d

Pope Leo met with Bad Bunny in Spain

Pope Leo XIV met with music superstar Bad Bunny in Spain as the pontiff continues his multi-city tour. CBS News' Chris Livesay reports.

Pope warns of growing mental health crisis, domestic violence at Barcelona Vigil

Pope Leo XIV on Tuesday urged greater attention to mental health after hearing emotional testimonies from young people at a prayer vigil in Barcelona, including a woman who…

Pope Leo urges youth to be ‘sparks of a new humanity’

Pope Leo XIV urged young people to be 'sparks of a new humanity'.

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