Will Pope Leo XIV visit Uruguay before Jan 1, 2027?

Uruguay and No probability

Market data

Liquidity, pricing and contract timing

Total volume: 25.8K contracts
24h volume: 11.9 contracts
Open interest: 5.2K contracts
Yes bid: 78¢
Yes ask: 84¢
No bid: 16¢
No ask: 22¢
Spread: 6¢
24h high: 83%
24h low: 82%
Opened: Dec 2, 2025
Closes: Jan 1, 2027
Status: active
Source updated: Jul 8, 2026

Resolution rules

What must happen for this contract to settle

If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Uruguay before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market discussion

Public trader commentary linked to this contract

Market data

Resolution rules

Market discussion

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