
Liquidity, pricing and contract timing
What must happen for this contract to settle
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate hikes will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Public trader commentary linked to this contract
The rail will populate once Kosmos has a fresh market move, linked news, or provider context.
RATE HIKE BETS HOLD FIRM Fed Chair Kevin Warsh declined to say whether the Fed will raise interest rates at its next meeting, stressing policymakers…
RATE HIKE BETS HOLD FIRM Fed Chair Kevin Warsh declined to say whether the Fed will raise interest rates at its next meeting, stressing policymakers will wait for more data.…
Cleveland Fed's Hammack says Fed may need to hike rates, but not necessarily at July meeting
Cleveland Fed's Hammack says Fed may need to hike rates, but not necessarily at July meeting Seeking Alpha
Fed June 2026 Meeting: Rate Hikes Back on Table as Dot Plot Shifts Hawkish
Fed June 2026 Meeting: Rate Hikes Back on Table as Dot Plot Shifts Hawkish Intellectia AI
Fed Rate Hike 2026: Markets Plunge as Warsh's First FOMC Meeting Signals Hawkish Shift
Fed Rate Hike 2026: Markets Plunge as Warsh's First FOMC Meeting Signals Hawkish Shift Intellectia AI
Interest rates unchanged in Kevin Warsh's first Fed announcement
The Federal Reserve left interest rates as they are in Chairman Kevin Warsh's first meeting Wednesday. The committee cited the inflation rate.

Fed holds US interest rates steady as uncertainty over Trump's Iran deal remains
The Federal Reserve held rates between 3.5% and 3.75% after Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the central bank.

Fed holds US interest rates steady as uncertainty over Trump's Iran deal remains
The Federal Reserve held rates between 3.5% and 3.75% after Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the central bank.

Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady for fourth time this year
US central bank makes decision in first meeting under new chair and Trump appointee Kevin Warsh The US Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged for the fourth time this year…

Federal Reserve Board and Federal Open Market Committee release economic projections from the June 16-17 FOMC meeting
Federal Reserve Board and Federal Open Market Committee release economic projections from the June 16-17 FOMC meeting

Political Spotlight Shines on Warsh for His First Fed Meeting as Chairman
The new Fed chairman is bound to face the unyielding attention of the president that nominated him.

Political Spotlight Shines on Warsh for His First Fed Meeting as Chairman
The new Fed chairman is bound to face the unyielding attention of the president that nominated him.

Kevin Warsh Completes His First Fed Meeting Today - the Odds of a Rate Hike in 2026 Are Collapsing
Kevin Warsh Completes His First Fed Meeting Today - the Odds of a Rate Hike in 2026 Are Collapsing 24/7 Wall St.
Ask me anything about Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?— the odds, what’s driving the move, or how it resolves.