
Liquidity, pricing and contract timing
What must happen for this contract to settle
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used. A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Public trader commentary linked to this contract
The rail will populate once Kosmos has a fresh market move, linked news, or provider context.
Musk vs. Altman: A High-Stakes A.I. Clash Goes to Court on Monday
Elon Musk is seeking more than $150 billion in damages and a complete shake-up of OpenAI. The outcome could have big consequences for the artificial intelligence industry.
Tensions over AI reach new high after violent attacks
Two violent attacks against OpenAI CEO Sam Altman and a city council member are prompting new fears over whether the debate around the technology has turned dangerous. Tensions…
OpenAI having money problems? CFO flags IPO risk, Sam Altman ignores
OpenAI having money problems CFO flags IPO risk Sam Altman ignores

OpenAI hits $852B, but $1T market valuation this year? I don't think so
The gap is only $148B on paper, but they just raised $122B. You don't go back to private markets that soon after a round that size. The next meaningful capital event is probably…
Ask me anything about Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?— the odds, what’s driving the move, or how it resolves.