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Liquidity, pricing and contract timing
What must happen for this contract to settle
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
Public trader commentary linked to this contract
The rail will populate once Kosmos has a fresh market move, linked news, or provider context.
Kentucky Gov. Beshear presses McConnell to provide health update as speculation grows
McConnell, the former longtime Senate leader who declined to seek an eighth term following a series of health scares, was admitted to a hospital on June 14.
McConnell speaks to GOP leaders as speculation swirls about health, hospitalization
Senate Republican leaders have spoken to Kentucky Sen. Mitch McConnell as he remains in the hospital
Senate leaders say they’ve spoken to Mitch McConnell in the hospital
As rumors have swirled about Sen. Mitch McConnell’s health, Senate Republican leaders and a former adviser say they talked to him on the phone from the hospital.
McConnell’s health emergency sparks questions on whether he will return to Senate
Emergency dispatch audio indicating that someone at Sen. Mitch McConnell’s (R-Ky.) home in Washington, D.C., suffered “cardiac arrest” earlier this month has raised questions…
Ask me anything about Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?— the odds, what’s driving the move, or how it resolves.
