Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?

Before 2027 and No probability

Market data

Liquidity, pricing and contract timing

Total volume: 162.8K contracts
24h volume: 92.32 contracts
Open interest: 48.9K contracts
Yes bid: 4¢
Yes ask: 5¢
No bid: 95¢
No ask: 96¢
Spread: 1¢
24h high: 6%
24h low: 4%
Opened: Oct 18, 2025
Closes: Jan 1, 2027
Status: active
Source updated: Apr 9, 2026

Resolution rules

What must happen for this contract to settle

If any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, the market resolves to Yes.

Market discussion

Public trader commentary linked to this contract

Market data

Resolution rules

Market discussion

No generated read is attached yet.

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