
Liquidity, pricing and contract timing
What must happen for this contract to settle
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Public trader commentary linked to this contract
The rail will populate once Kosmos has a fresh market move, linked news, or provider context.
Bitcoin treasury company Empery Digital sold about half of BTC stack
Bitcoin treasury company Empery Digital sold about half of BTC stack CoinDesk
Bitcoin treasury company Empery Digital sold about half of BTC stack
It's a sign of the times as the troubled company swaps its bitcoin treasury ambitions for AI data centers.
SpaceX Is Dogecoin, Bitcoin Is The Cheap One, Says Hedge Fund Manager
SpaceX Is Dogecoin, Bitcoin Is The Cheap One, Says Hedge Fund Manager Stocktwits
ETH, SOL, DOGE price news: Bitcoin slips toward $63,000 amid tech selloff
ETH, SOL, DOGE price news: Bitcoin slips toward $63,000 amid tech selloff CoinDesk
Bitcoin slips toward $63,000 as a tech selloff drags risk assets lower
A rotation out of this year's best AI and chip stocks sank Asian markets, with South Korea's Kospi down 6%, and crypto fell with them. Bitcoin is down more than 3% on the week.

Morning Minute: Bitcoin at $65,000 as Iran Deal Wobbles
Macro uncertainty, STRC finding a new low and another $227M in ETF outflows weren't enough to keep Bitcoin down over the past week.

Bitcoin (BTC) price is forming a bear flag that may signal crash to $55,000, analyst says
Bitcoin (BTC) price is forming a bear flag that may signal crash to $55,000, analyst says CoinDesk
Live markets: Bitcoin is stuck near $64,000 as ETF outflows reach a sixth week
Eased ETF selling and improving risk appetite are being offset by a firmer dollar and cautious institutional flows, leaving bitcoin range-bound, one analyst says.

Bitcoin demand gauge sinks to worst level since December as spot buying weakens
Bitcoin demand gauge sinks to worst level since December as spot buying weakens CoinDesk
Strategy has already sold bitcoin before for tax loss harvesting in December 2022
Strategy has already sold bitcoin before for tax loss harvesting in December 2022 CoinDesk
Bitcoin bulls target $115K by December: Does data back the expectation?
Bitcoin bulls target $115K by December: Does data back the expectation? TradingView
‘Powerful move’ looms for Bitcoin price, says Bollinger Bands indicator
Bitcoin’s technical indicators predicted a significant move ahead for BTC, but the price must first break resistance at $80,000.

Ask me anything about Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?— the odds, what’s driving the move, or how it resolves.