Observed market move−4 pts
9%→5%
Measured over 1h · Holding at the new level.
Kalshi + PolymarketQuotes refresh with each view⌘Ksearch
Down 4 pts to 5%.
Measured over 1h · Holding at the new level.
Credibility: low (0.62) · Contemporaneous With Move — not confirmed causal
Kosmos read
Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026? moved from 9% to 5%. Likely catalyst: Web Search.
Provenance
| Age | Type | Source | Detail | Price move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h 11m | Market move | marketshockinternal | Market move: Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026? | 9% → 5% |
| 1h 16m | News article | Web Searchexternal | LYON vs Contra - Valorant – bo3.gg | — |
| 1h 16m | Market move | marketshockinternal | Market move: Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026? | 8% → 4% |
| 1h 51m | Market move | marketshockinternal | Market move: Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026? | 4% → 10% |
| 1h 51m | Milestone | system | Signal created | — |
3 of 4 rows are the market re-reporting its own price ticks (highlighted rows are independent external sources) — matches counts.non_market_sources: 1.