Mediators Try to Salvage Diplomacy After US-Iran Strikes

1independent sources

1evidence receipts

5linked markets

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News Article · candidate2h 35m ago

Asharq Al-Awsat

Credibility: medium (0.68) · Source Timestamp Available — not confirmed causal

Kosmos read

Why this probably moved

Watch only

Supports this read

The signal has a source catalyst in the evidence ledger.

Argues against it

No directly matched primary market is attached.
Source diversity is still low.
The evidence pack is still shallow.

What to watch next

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Provenance

Evidence & activity

2 shown

Age	Type	Source	Detail	Price move
2h 35m	News article	Asharq Al-Awsatexternal	Mediators Try to Salvage Diplomacy After US-Iran Strikes	—
2h 35m	Milestone	system	Signal created	—

Market status

Watch only

No market has passed every target check. Linked markets below are context, not a trade recommendation.

Linked markets

~17-pt gap between venues on the same event

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Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?

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US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

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57%

Confidence & calibration

Uncalibrated

Confidence is a proxy from source, market-quality, freshness, reputation, and noise features until enough labeled signal outcomes exist for empirical calibration.

·0 resolved signals scored in this bucket yet
·Labeled Signal Outcomes Unavailable
·Confidence Bucket History Unavailable

Credible sources

Asharq Al-Awsatexternal

Receipt coverage

Last evidence: 2h 35m ago
Independent sources: 1
Evidence types: 1
Market connection: Context only
Move window: unknown