Kalshi + PolymarketQuotes refresh with each view⌘Ksearch
Will Kusuhara / Nakagawa win the Kusuhara / Nakagawa vs Ichikawa / Noguchi: M15 Tokyo… · Kosmos Signals Observed market move−30 pts 42%→12%
Measured over 1h · Holding at the new level.
Will Kusuhara / Nakagawa win the Kusuhara / Nakagawa vs… moved from 42% to 12%
Supports this read
1- The market itself supplied movement evidence.
Argues against it
4- No directly matched primary market is attached.
- The evidence is still market movement, not independent proof.
- No confirming catalyst has been attributed yet.
- Source diversity is still low.
→Wait for an official source, high-trust news article, or corroborating evidence.→Review the market resolution criteria and source before relying on this as tradable evidence.→Watch whether the move holds after follow-up evidence arrives.| Age | Type | Source | Detail | Price move |
|---|
| 6h 28m | Market move | marketshockinternal | Market move: Will Kusuhara / Nakagawa win the Kusuhara / Nakagawa vs Ichikawa / Noguchi: M15 Tokyo Final match? | 42% → 12% |
| 7h 18m | Market move | marketshockinternal | Market move: Will Kusuhara / Nakagawa win the Kusuhara / Nakagawa vs Ichikawa / Noguchi: M15 Tokyo Final match? | 37% → 46% |
| 7h 28m | Market move | marketshockinternal | Market move: Will Kusuhara / Nakagawa win the Kusuhara / Nakagawa vs Ichikawa / Noguchi: M15 Tokyo Final match? | 60% → 37% |
| 7h 28m | Milestone | system | Signal created | — |