CompanyYes97%
No4%
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢ · Spread 5.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Feb 19, 2027 · Open
Why connected
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
American Electric Power
Stock · Utilities · Electric Utilities
$122.77
−$1.90 (-1.53%)
As of Aug 21, 3:06 PM
Low $120.50 · High $134.50 · 103 obs
CompanyBid 94¢ · Ask 99¢ · Spread 5.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Feb 19, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 90¢ · Ask 99¢ · Spread 9.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Feb 19, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 89¢ · Ask 98¢ · Spread 9.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Feb 19, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 76¢ · Ask 79¢ · Spread 3.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Feb 19, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 55¢ · Ask 58¢ · Spread 3.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Feb 19, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 36¢ · Ask 41¢ · Spread 5.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Feb 19, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 28¢ · Ask 34¢ · Spread 6.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Feb 19, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 23¢ · Ask 29¢ · Spread 6.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Feb 19, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 13¢ · Ask 21¢ · Spread 8.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Feb 19, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 2¢ · Ask 8¢ · Spread 6.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Feb 19, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 94¢ · Ask 97¢ · Spread 3.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Feb 13, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 87¢ · Ask 96¢ · Spread 9.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Feb 13, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 80¢ · Ask 89¢ · Spread 9.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Feb 13, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 55¢ · Ask 64¢ · Spread 9.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Feb 13, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 28¢ · Ask 37¢ · Spread 9.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Feb 13, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 16¢ · Ask 21¢ · Spread 5.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Feb 13, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 12¢ · Ask 16¢ · Spread 4.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Feb 13, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 9¢ · Ask 14¢ · Spread 5.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Feb 13, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 5¢ · Ask 9¢ · Spread 4.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Feb 13, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 2¢ · Ask 7¢ · Spread 5.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Feb 13, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 92¢ · Ask 99¢ · Spread 7.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Apr 23, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 68¢ · Ask 74¢ · Spread 6.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Apr 23, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 37¢ · Ask 46¢ · Spread 9.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Apr 23, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 22¢ · Ask 28¢ · Spread 6.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Apr 23, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 11¢ · Ask 16¢ · Spread 5.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Apr 23, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 3¢ · Ask 12¢ · Spread 9.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Apr 23, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 2¢ · Ask 9¢ · Spread 7.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Apr 23, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 2¢ · Ask 9¢ · Spread 7.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Apr 23, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 94¢ · Ask 99¢ · Spread 5.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes May 14, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 93¢ · Ask 99¢ · Spread 6.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes May 14, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 92¢ · Ask 99¢ · Spread 7.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes May 14, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 89¢ · Ask 98¢ · Spread 9.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes May 14, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 84¢ · Ask 93¢ · Spread 9.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes May 14, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 73¢ · Ask 80¢ · Spread 7.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes May 14, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 51¢ · Ask 61¢ · Spread 10.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes May 14, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 95¢ · Ask 100¢ · Spread 5.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Apr 27, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 81¢ · Ask 88¢ · Spread 7.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Apr 27, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 75¢ · Ask 84¢ · Spread 9.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Apr 27, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 39¢ · Ask 45¢ · Spread 6.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Apr 27, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 11¢ · Ask 19¢ · Spread 8.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Apr 27, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 4¢ · Ask 8¢ · Spread 4.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Apr 27, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 6¢ · Ask 9¢ · Spread 3.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Apr 27, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
CompanyBid 2¢ · Ask 4¢ · Spread 2.0 pts
Kalshi · Closes Apr 27, 2027 · Open
Kalshi lists this contract in AEP's company report.
SEC-linkedPolymarket · 9.2M 24H volume · Close date Dec 31, 2026 · Trading closed
AEP's vertically integrated utilities rely on fossil fuels including coal and natural gas. A Hormuz closure could spike global energy commodity prices, raising AEP's fuel costs beyond the 0.5% MMBtu increase already seen in 2025, squeezing margins.
How to track
Watch natural gas futures (Henry Hub) and this market's YES odds; rising gas prices alongside closure risk signal direct cost pressure on AEP's fuel budget.
SEC-linkedPolymarket · 5.7K 24H volume · Close date Aug 1, 2026 · Trading closed
AEP (Electric Utilities) discloses SEC-backed natural gas exposure: "2025 2024 2023 Coal and Lignite 43% 40% 37% Nuclear 19% 22% 22% Natural Gas 22% 22% 22% Renewables 16% 16% 19% An increase/decrease in one o"; the impact can be mixed or context-dependent.
SEC-linkedKalshi · 2.9K 24H volume · Close date Jan 1, 2027 · Trading closed
AEP's SEC filings show exposure to tariff-driven cost changes on transmission infrastructure materials. A court-ordered tariff refund could alter equipment costs, but the net effect on AEP's regulated cost recovery is ambiguous.
How to track
Watch this market's YES odds and AEP's quarterly filings for updates on capital equipment costs tied to steel and transformer procurement.
SEC-linkedKalshi · 17.3K 24H volume · Close date Aug 1, 2026 · Trading closed
AEP operates under FERC-regulated transmission tariffs; broad tariff/trade policy shifts can affect equipment costs and regulatory cost recovery, though the direction on AEP is ambiguous per its own filings.
How to track
Watch AEP's FERC rate case filings and this market's YES odds for any policy signal linking tariff revenue redistribution to utility cost structures.
RatesPolymarket · 42.4K 24H volume · Close date Dec 9, 2026 · Trading closed
Rising rates increase borrowing costs for capital-heavy utility infrastructure, compressing margins; but higher rates can also signal stronger economic activity, lifting electricity demand. Net effect depends on each utility's debt maturity profile and regulated-return structure.
How to track
Watch 10-yr Treasury yield moves and Fed rate decisions, track sector ETF XLU, and monitor this market's YES odds for rate direction shifts.
LaborKalshi · 1.7K 24H volume · Close date Jul 30, 2026 · Trading closed
AEP (Electric Utilities): included because labor-market outcomes can affect wages, availability, demand, and operating costs.
Hurricanes WeatherKalshi · Closes Dec 1, 2026 · Open
Extreme cold/heat spikes demand for power and gas, lifting utility revenues; but severe storms damage grid infrastructure, raising repair costs and forcing outages that can trigger regulatory penalties or revenue loss.
How to track
Watch NOAA seasonal forecasts and heating/cooling degree-day data alongside the XLU sector ETF and this market's YES odds.
RecessionBid 8¢ · Ask 9¢
Polymarket · 2.3K 24H volume · Closes Jan 31, 2027 · Open
Utilities gain as defensive, regulated cash flows attract safety-seeking capital during recessions. But a downturn can hurt via falling industrial electricity demand and rising credit stress on heavily indebted utility balance sheets.
How to track
Watch GDP/industrial-output releases, the XLU sector ETF price vs. broader market, and this market's YES odds for shifting recession probability.