Polymarket
AMD-USD
$476.68
Underlying mark +0.01% basis
- Funding
- +0.0006%
- 24H volume
- $1.1M
- Open interest
- $383.6K
- Max leverage
- 10×
Advanced Micro Devices
Stock · Information Technology · Semiconductors
$479.26
+$13.03 (+2.79%)
Market closed
Low $429.62 · High $527.54 · 104 obs
Polymarket
AMD-USD
$476.68
Underlying mark +0.01% basis
Polymarket · 65 24H volume · Close date Jul 29, 2026 · Trading closed
AMD (Semiconductors) discloses SEC-backed foreign exchange exposure: "net Other income (expense), net is primarily comprised of interest income from short-term investments, changes in valuation of long-term inv"; the impact can be mixed or context-dependent.
Kalshi · 2.9K 24H volume · Close date Jan 1, 2027 · Trading closed
AMD's SEC filing flags import tariffs and trade protection measures as direct regulatory risks to its business. A court-ordered tariff refund could alter the cost structure AMD and its suppliers face, though the net effect on AMD is uncertain.
How to track
Watch this market's YES odds alongside AMD's quarterly gross margin disclosures and any supply chain cost commentary in earnings calls.
Kalshi · Closes Dec 31, 2026 · Open
AMD (Semiconductors) discloses SEC-backed foreign exchange exposure: "net Other income (expense), net is primarily comprised of interest income from short-term investments, changes in valuation of long-term inv"; the impact can be mixed or context-dependent.
Kalshi · 17.3K 24H volume · Close date Aug 1, 2026 · Trading closed
AMD's SEC filings cite import tariffs and trade protection measures as direct regulatory risks that could limit product exports and affect costs. A YES resolution would signal an active tariff regime, keeping those disclosed supply chain and cost pressures live for AMD.
How to track
Watch AMD's quarterly earnings calls for tariff cost commentary and monitor U.S. trade policy news for measures affecting semiconductor imports/exports.
Polymarket · 120 24H volume · Close date Aug 1, 2026 · Trading closed
AI compute demand drives hardware, chip, and cloud infrastructure spending higher — a tailwind for IT suppliers. But it also compresses margins for software and services firms that must absorb rising compute costs without equivalent pricing power.
How to track
Watch datacenter capex reports and GPU supply data; track XLK or IGV vs. SOX; monitor this market's YES odds for sentiment shifts.
Kalshi · 1.7K 24H volume · Close date Jul 30, 2026 · Trading closed
AMD (Semiconductors): included because labor-market outcomes can affect wages, availability, demand, and operating costs.
Bid 8¢ · Ask 9¢
Polymarket · 2.3K 24H volume · Closes Jan 31, 2027 · Open
IT budgets are often cut early in downturns, pressuring hardware and discretionary software spending (hurting). But mission-critical cloud, cybersecurity, and automation tools can see sticky or rising demand as firms cut labor costs (helping). Net effect depends on the sector's s…
How to track
Watch ISM Manufacturing PMI and enterprise IT spending surveys, track XLK (Tech ETF) vs. defensive sectors, and monitor this market's YES odds for sentiment shifts.
Polymarket · 42.4K 24H volume · Close date Dec 9, 2026 · Trading closed
Higher rates raise the discount rate applied to future earnings, pressuring high-multiple IT stocks whose value is weighted far out. Yet hardware/IT-services firms with strong near-term cash flows and pricing power can absorb rate moves better than pure-growth software names.
How to track
Watch 10-yr Treasury yields and Fed meeting outcomes, track sector ETF $XLK, and monitor this market's YES odds for rate-path shifts.