
Liquidity, pricing and contract timing
What must happen for this contract to settle
If the 13th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Public trader commentary linked to this contract
The rail will populate once Kosmos has a fresh market move, linked news, or provider context.
No related markets right now.
Ask me anything about Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?— the odds, what’s driving the move, or how it resolves.