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Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?

Closes in 6mo

1450+

1.02x98%

1460+

50.0x2%

$236,275 vol7 markets

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Closes in 20d

NVIDIA

1.08x93%

Apple

16.7x6%

$194,530 vol8 markets

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Closes in 20d

Anthropic

1.08x93%

Google

16.7x6%

$606,515 vol15 markets

Best AI in Dec 2026?

Closes in 6mo

Claude

1.61x62%

ChatGPT

7.14x14%

$753,606 vol7 markets

Best AI in Jul 2026?

Closes in 21d

Claude

1.10x91%

Gemini

20.0x5%

$94,735 vol6 markets

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Oct 1, 2026?

Closes in 3mo

Before 2027

5.88x17%

Before October

10.0x10%

$333,599 vol2 markets

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Closes in 20d

Google

1.96x51%

Anthropic

2.33x43%

$54,580 vol15 markets

Best AI in Jul 2026?

Closes in 3d

Claude

1.01x99%

ChatGPT

100.0x1%

$91,191 vol8 markets

Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026?

Closes in 6mo

Anthropic

1.45x69%

OpenAI

3.57x28%

$146,497 vol9 markets

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Closes in 12mo

December 31, 2026

1.59x63%

October 31, 2026

2.56x39%

$198,061 vol5 markets

Top Coding AI this week?

Closes in 3d

Claude

1.04x96%

ChatGPT

25.0x4%

$22,394 vol9 markets

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 24, 2026?

Closes in 13d

Before Jul 31, 2026

1.56x64%

Before Jul 24, 2026

4.17x24%

$16,279 vol3 markets

What will be the top AI model this month?

Closes in 3d

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

1.01x99%

claude-fable-5

50.0x2%

$17,473 vol3 markets

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?

Closes in 6mo

1450+

1.06x94%

1470+

100.0x1%

$49,191 vol2 markets

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

Closes in 22d

Above 10

1.02x98%

Above 11

1.03x97%

$10,548 vol8 markets

Will Anthropic's valuation hit $2.0T or higher by December 31?

Closes in 6mo

↑$1.25T

1.09x92%

↑$1.5T

1.28x78%

$435,134 vol11 markets

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

Closes in 3mo

Before Apr 1, 2027

1.22x82%

Before Mar 1, 2027

1.23x81%

$86,705 vol9 markets

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

Closes in 6mo

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026

4.17x24%

1.30x77%

$8,379 vol1 market

Top Math AI this month?

Closes in 21d

Gemini

1.79x56%

Claude

2.50x40%

$18,573 vol7 markets

Will OpenAI's valuation hit $600B or lower by December 31?

Closes in 6mo

↑$

↑$900B

1.37x73%

↑$1.0T

1.89x53%

$42,344 vol15 markets

Will SpaceX launch another Starship by Jul 16, 2026?

Closes in 6d

Before September

1.06x94%

Before September 17th

1.06x94%

$76,781 vol5 markets

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Closes in 20d

Apple

1.45x69%

Alphabet

3.70x27%

$40,201 vol8 markets

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?

Closes in 20d

July 30

1.82x55%

No release by July 31

5.26x19%

$26,127 vol23 markets

Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.5 at 4 PM ET on Jul 17?

Closes in 7d

Above $0.50

1.47x68%

Above $0.75

33.3x3%

$4,900 vol5 markets

Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Closes in 6mo

Google

4.17x24%

OpenAI

4.55x22%

$9,694 vol14 markets

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

Closes tomorrow

Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12

3.33x30%

1.41x71%

$13,477 vol1 market

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?

Closes in 20d

August 31

1.03x97%

Super Heavy booster explodes

1.15x87%

$42,793 vol6 markets

Top Coding AI this month?

Closes in 21d

ChatGPT

1.14x88%

Claude

9.09x11%

$37,406 vol8 markets

Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Closes in 6mo

SpaceX

1.14x88%

Anthropic

7.69x13%

$438,646 vol12 markets

Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Closes in 3mo

1510

2.50x40%

1520

4.17x24%

$48,116 vol5 markets

Top movers

Will Charlie Robertson win the Shimanov vs Robertson: M15 Hillcrest Semifinal match?Charlie Robertson1%▼53points down

Will LYON win the LYON vs. Hanwha Life Esports League of Legends match?LYON30%42

Top traders

1KIKickstand763% win rate · $23K vol+$1.4M 2DRDropper76% win rate · $12.4K vol+$1.4M 38383255567% win rate · $435.2K vol+$1.2M 4COCountrysid91% win rate · $726.7K vol

Top movers

Will Charlie Robertson win the Shimanov vs Robertson: M15 Hillcrest Semifinal match?Charlie Robertson1%▼53points down

Will LYON win the LYON vs. Hanwha Life Esports League of Legends match?LYON30%42

Top traders

1KIKickstand763% win rate · $23K vol+$1.4M 2DRDropper76% win rate · $12.4K vol+$1.4M 38383255567% win rate · $435.2K vol+$1.2M 4COCountrysid91% win rate · $726.7K vol

Will England win on 2026-07-11?England$2.6M vol · 31 markets

50%▲3points up

▲

points up

Will Aruzhan Sagandykova win the Sagandykova vs Yodpetch: W15 Astana Semifinal match?Aruzhan Sagandykova67%▲10points up

Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh Winner?Zimbabwe15%▼6points down

Will Elisha Ellison win the Steveson vs Ellison professional MMA fight scheduled for Jul 11, 2026?Elisha Ellison12%▲2points up

+$858K

56E0x6E1d…2D0F83% win rate · $1.1K vol+$850K

6BAbahibahibahi71% win rate · $259K vol+$791.8K

7AGAgricultureSecretary92% win rate · $638.8K vol+$665.1K

8PAParz1vaI72% win rate · $216K vol+$654.4K

9JAJargs63% win rate · $19K vol+$568.9K

10CAcashy74% win rate · $3.7K vol+$537.8K

11JOjohnbaster67% win rate · $490K vol+$533.7K

12.S.Sisyphus.97% win rate · $1.3M vol+$481.2K

13AXAxios83% win rate · $3.1K vol+$444.2K

14EUEuan70% win rate · $972 vol+$397.5K

15CLclassified85% win rate · $18.1K vol+$388.8K

160202a923d2f6edbc894e76357104e654b27a0d9071e77% win rate · $784 vol+$385.5K

17ESesports09564% win rate · $1.5K vol+$376.9K

18TRtrgparking63% win rate · $197.4K vol+$376.7K

19B80xb85e…b6e076% win rate · $2.9K vol+$366.5K

20140x1461…cC6e84% win rate · $908 vol+$358.6K

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