
Liquidity, pricing and contract timing
What must happen for this contract to settle
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Public trader commentary linked to this contract
The rail will populate once Kosmos has a fresh market move, linked news, or provider context.
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the July meeting?
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the September interest rate announcement?
Ask me anything about Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?— the odds, what’s driving the move, or how it resolves.