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finance

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Closes in 18d

No change

1.28x78%

25 bps increase

4.55x22%

$13,035,354 vol5 markets

finance

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting?

Closes in 19d

Fed maintains rate

1.27x79%

Hike 25bps

5.00x20%

$3,675,534 vol5 markets

finance

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit $85 or higher in July?

Closes in 21d

↓

↓ $65

3.33x30%

↑

↑ $80

3.33x30%

$321,696 vol19 markets

finance

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Closes in 2mo

No change

1.79x56%

25 bps increase

2.56x39%

$496,709 vol5 markets

finance

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Closes in 6mo

0 (0 bps)

1.28x78%

1 (25 bps)

6.25x16%

$2,287,701 vol13 markets

finance

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.0% for the year ending in June 2026?

Closes in 4d

Above 3.4%

1.01x99%

Above 3.0%

1.01x99%

$253,364 vol18 markets

finance

Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in June 2026?

Closes in 4d

Above -0.3%

1.09x92%

Above -0.2%

2.56x39%

$144,626 vol9 markets

finance

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Closes in 18d

Pause–Pause–Pause

1.32x76%

Other

4.35x23%

$194,683 vol3 markets

finance

Will the Fed cut rates 0 times?

Closes in 6mo

Exactly 0 cuts

1.32x76%

Exactly 1 cut

5.88x17%

$1,857,631 vol21 markets

finance

Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?

Closes in 5mo

October Meeting

2.13x47%

September Meeting

2.27x44%

$326,751 vol3 markets

finance

Will there be a recession in 2026?

Closes in 7mo

Starts

9.09x11%

1.12x89%

$2,846,264 vol1 market

finance

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Closes in 2mo

Pause–Pause–Pause

1.82x55%

Other

2.17x46%

$63,498 vol5 markets

finance

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2027 meeting?

Closes in 1y

Hike 25bps

1.41x71%

Hike >25bps

2.04x49%

$24,957 vol3 markets

finance

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Closes in 5mo

Fed rate hike in 2026

1.85x54%

2.13x47%

$3,679,043 vol1 market

finance

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Jul 29, 2026 meeting?

Closes in 19d

Above 3.25%

1.01x99%

Above 2.75%

1.01x99%

$453,063 vol10 markets

finance

Will the Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027?

Closes in 6mo

Cuts

3.85x26%

1.35x74%

$695,148 vol1 market

finance

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 75.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 13, 2026?

Closes in 3d

Above $64.49

1.01x99%

Above $64.99

1.01x99%

$9,710 vol21 markets

finance

Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by December 31, 2026?

Closes in 6mo

Before 2028

1.33x75%

Before July 2027

1.54x65%

$1,265,011 vol3 markets

finance

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit $770 or higher in July?

Closes in 21d

↑

↑ $760

1.22x82%

↑

↑ $770

2.33x43%

$21,460 vol12 markets

finance

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 77.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 17, 2026?

Closes in 7d

$70.00 to $70.99

7.69x13%

$71.00 to $71.99

8.33x12%

$6,230 vol12 markets

finance

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Closes in 4mo

Other

2.08x48%

Pause–Pause–Pause

2.17x46%

$107,797 vol9 markets

finance

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit $3,600 or lower in July?

Closes in 21d

↑ $4,300

2.56x39%

↓ $3,900

3.57x28%

$28,910 vol11 markets

finance

Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Closes in 6mo

7,600 to 7,799.99

8.33x12%

7,800 to 7,999.99

8.33x12%

$261,382 vol27 markets

finance

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 33000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Closes in 6mo

33,000.01 or above

2.63x38%

18,999.99 or below

14.3x7%

$191,238 vol30 markets

finance

Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $62.5 by Jul 31, 2026?

Closes in 21d

66.99 or below

5.00x20%

64.99 or below

12.5x8%

$5,546 vol10 markets

finance

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in June?

Closes in 4d

Above 0.0%

1.01x99%

Above 0.1%

1.12x89%

$18,150 vol5 markets

finance

Inflation surge in 2026?

Closes in 7mo

At least 4.5%

3.57x28%

At least 5.0%

4.00x25%

$188,006 vol5 markets

finance

CPI core month-over-month in Oct 2026?

Closes in 4mo

Exactly 0.2%

2.63x38%

Exactly 0.5%

33.3x3%

$4,070 vol6 markets

finance

How high will unemployment get before 2027?

Closes in 6mo

Above 5%

10.0x10%

Above 9%

10.0x10%

$324,881 vol10 markets

finance

Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?

Closes in 3y

By 2030

4.76x21%

1.27x79%

$97,832 vol1 market

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