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politics

Will Steve Hilton finish 1st in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Closes in 11mo

Xavier Becerra

1.00x100%

Steve Hilton

--0%

$7,092,781 vol2 markets

politics

Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Closes in 3mo

United Russia (ER)

1.04x96%

New People (NL)

33.3x3%

$568,479 vol7 markets

politics

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Closes in 2y

J.D. Vance

2.44x41%

Marco Rubio

4.00x25%

$14,895,200 vol31 markets

politics

Will it be confirmed that Graham Platner is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?

Closes in 21d

Troy Jackson

1.47x68%

Shenna Bellows

4.17x24%

$805,300 vol16 markets

politics

Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?

Closes in 10mo

Marine Le Pen

3.70x27%

Édouard Philippe

3.70x27%

$4,556,232 vol31 markets

politics

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner remains the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine before Aug 1, 2026?

Closes in 21d

Special convention

1.02x98%

Another process

50.0x2%

$516,018 vol6 markets

politics

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Closes in 2y

JD Vance

5.00x20%

Marco Rubio

7.14x14%

$7,157,976 vol31 markets

politics

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

Closes in 12mo

Nigel Farage

1.09x92%

Count Binface

14.3x7%

$994,389 vol8 markets

politics

Trump out as President by July 31?

Closes in 20d

Trump out as President by July 31

100.0x1%

1.01x99%

$658,395 vol1 market

politics

Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Closes in 2y

Jon Ossoff

10.0x10%

Pete Buttigieg

20.0x5%

$43,341,394 vol31 markets

politics

Will Raphael Warnock be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

Closes in 2y

Gavin Newsom

5.26x19%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

6.25x16%

$2,510,743 vol30 markets

politics

Who will win the next presidential election?

Closes in 3y

Marco Rubio

5.88x17%

J.D. Vance

5.88x17%

$2,197,826 vol30 markets

politics

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Closes in 3mo

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

1.64x61%

Flávio Bolsonaro

4.55x22%

$8,021,145 vol17 markets

politics

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 14, 2026?

Closes in 3d

Before Jul 14, 2026

1.01x99%

Before Jul 11, 2026

1.01x99%

$92,786 vol4 markets

politics

Will Donald J. Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

Closes in 2y

J.D. Vance

2.38x42%

Marco Rubio

3.57x28%

$3,261,367 vol30 markets

politics

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Closes in 6mo

Andy Burnham

1.00x100%

Nigel Farage

--0%

$1,103,185 vol22 markets

politics

Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?

Closes in 16d

Troy Jackson

1.47x68%

Shenna Bellows

4.00x25%

$146,648 vol12 markets

politics

Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?

Closes in 11mo

Karen Bass

1.59x63%

Nithya Raman

2.78x36%

$10,339,715 vol2 markets

politics

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida?

Closes in 4mo

Byron Donalds

1.05x95%

James Fishback

25.0x4%

$6,084,089 vol9 markets

politics

Who will win the 2026 Maine Senate election?

Closes in 12mo

Troy Jackson

2.56x39%

Susan Collins

2.63x38%

$225,041 vol15 markets

politics

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Closes in 3mo

United Russia (ER)

1.85x54%

New People (NL)

2.44x41%

$1,063,416 vol7 markets

politics

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?

Closes in 6mo

December 31

14.3x7%

1.08x93%

$75,900 vol1 market

politics

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Closes in 6mo

Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends

2.04x49%

1.92x52%

$291,703 vol1 market

politics

Trump signs housing bill by end of July?

Closes in 20d

Trump signs housing bill by end of July

50.0x2%

1.02x98%

$40,353 vol1 market

politics

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Donald Trump vetoes the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act before Jul 14, 2026?

Closes in 3d

Becomes law without signature

1.01x99%

Vetoed

100.0x1%

$37,803 vol4 markets

politics

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office early?

Closes in 4mo

Before election day 2026

3.13x32%

1.47x68%

$561,556 vol1 market

politics

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Closes in 4mo

Democrats Sweep

2.22x45%

R Senate, D House

2.44x41%

$1,257,770 vol5 markets

politics

Will Derek Chauvin receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

Closes in 6mo

Charlie Javice

3.57x28%

Rachel Cherwitz

3.57x28%

$82,089 vol21 markets

politics

Trump out as President before 2027?

Closes in 6mo

Trump out as President before 2027

12.5x8%

1.08x93%

$9,845,799 vol1 market

politics

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Closes in 4mo

Democratic Party

1.19x84%

Republican Party

5.88x17%

$4,558,511 vol2 markets

Top movers

Will Charlie Robertson win the Shimanov vs Robertson: M15 Hillcrest Semifinal match?Charlie Robertson1%▼53points down

Will LYON win the LYON vs. Hanwha Life Esports League of Legends match?LYON30%42

Top traders

1KIKickstand763% win rate · $23K vol+$1.4M 2DRDropper76% win rate · $12.4K vol+$1.4M 38383255567% win rate · $435.2K vol+$1.2M 4COCountrysid91% win rate · $726.7K vol

Top movers

Will Charlie Robertson win the Shimanov vs Robertson: M15 Hillcrest Semifinal match?Charlie Robertson1%▼53points down

Will LYON win the LYON vs. Hanwha Life Esports League of Legends match?LYON30%42

Top traders

1KIKickstand763% win rate · $23K vol+$1.4M 2DRDropper76% win rate · $12.4K vol+$1.4M 38383255567% win rate · $435.2K vol+$1.2M 4COCountrysid91% win rate · $726.7K vol

Will England win on 2026-07-11?England$2.6M vol · 31 markets

50%▲3points up

▲

points up

Will Aruzhan Sagandykova win the Sagandykova vs Yodpetch: W15 Astana Semifinal match?Aruzhan Sagandykova67%▲10points up

Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh Winner?Zimbabwe15%▼6points down

Will Elisha Ellison win the Steveson vs Ellison professional MMA fight scheduled for Jul 11, 2026?Elisha Ellison12%▲2points up

+$858K

56E0x6E1d…2D0F83% win rate · $1.1K vol+$850K

6BAbahibahibahi71% win rate · $259K vol+$791.8K

7AGAgricultureSecretary92% win rate · $638.8K vol+$665.1K

8PAParz1vaI72% win rate · $216K vol+$654.4K

9JAJargs63% win rate · $19K vol+$568.9K

10CAcashy74% win rate · $3.7K vol+$537.8K

11JOjohnbaster67% win rate · $490K vol+$533.7K

12.S.Sisyphus.97% win rate · $1.3M vol+$481.2K

13AXAxios83% win rate · $3.1K vol+$444.2K

14EUEuan70% win rate · $972 vol+$397.5K

15CLclassified85% win rate · $18.1K vol+$388.8K

160202a923d2f6edbc894e76357104e654b27a0d9071e77% win rate · $784 vol+$385.5K

17ESesports09564% win rate · $1.5K vol+$376.9K

18TRtrgparking63% win rate · $197.4K vol+$376.7K

19B80xb85e…b6e076% win rate · $2.9K vol+$366.5K

20140x1461…cC6e84% win rate · $908 vol+$358.6K

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