Markets - Kosmos

economics

Fed Decision in September

Closes in 21d

25 bps increase

34%

No change

66%

$517.1K 24h · $15.4M total

economics

Fed decision in Sep 2026

Closes in 22d

Hike 25bps

32%

Fed maintains rate

69%

~$5.7K 24h · ~$41.8K total

economics

Next Fed rate hike

Closes in 4mo

Before 2028

75%

Before July 2027

72%

~$29.1K 24h · ~$1.6M total

economics

Fed Decision in October

Closes in 2mo

25 bps increase

25%

No change

72%

$4.7K 24h · $239.8K total

economics

Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting

Closes in 22d

Above 3.50%

99%

Above 4.25%

~$2K 24h · ~$115.4K total

economics

Fed Decision in January

Closes in 5mo

25 bps increase

22%

No change

61%

$483 24h · $2.3K total

economics

Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting

Closes in 8mo

Above 0.25%

99%

Above 0.50%

99%

~$431 24h · ~$2.1K total

economics

Fed decision in Dec 2026

Closes in 4mo

Hike 25bps

28%

Fed maintains rate

66%

~$394 24h · ~$17.6K total

economics

Fed decision in Oct 2026

Closes in 2mo

Hike 25bps

22%

Fed maintains rate

73%

~$220 24h · ~$5.8K total

economics

Which central banks will hike before 2027

Data delayed · in 4mo

US Federal Reserve

64%

Bank of England

39%

~$207 24h · ~$19.1K total

economics

Fed Decision in December

Closes in 4mo

25 bps increase

29%

No change

61%

$199 24h · $50.1K total

economics

Will the Federal Reserve publish a dot plot for its September 2026 Summary of Economic Projections?

Closes in 22d

In September 2026

91%

Not In September 2026

~$187 24h · ~$6.7K total

economics

Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced

Data delayed · in 6d

Before Sep 1, 2026

Before Jan 1, 2027

19%

~$10 24h · ~$217 total

economics

Cuts — Will the Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027?

Closes in 4mo

Cuts

12%

Not Cuts

88%

~$92 24h · ~$126.5K total

economics

Fed decision in Sep 2027

Closes in 1y

Cut 25bps

Fed maintains rate

61%

~$52 24h · ~$574 total

economics

Fed decision in Jan 2027

Closes in 5mo

Hike 25bps

16%

Fed maintains rate

61%

~$40 24h · ~$16.5K total

economics

Fed decision in Mar 2027

Closes in 7mo

Cut 25bps

13%

Fed maintains rate

66%

~$33 24h · ~$3.2K total

economics

Fed decision in Apr 2027

Closes in 8mo

Cut 25bps

14%

Fed maintains rate

61%

~$33 24h · ~$7.8K total

economics

Fed Decision in September

Closes in 21d

25 bps increase

34%

No change

66%

$517.1K 24h · $15.4M total

economics

Fed decision in Sep 2026

Closes in 22d

Hike 25bps

32%

Fed maintains rate

69%

~$5.7K 24h · ~$41.8K total

economics

Next Fed rate hike

Closes in 4mo

Before 2028

75%

Before July 2027

72%

~$29.1K 24h · ~$1.6M total

economics

Fed Decision in October

Closes in 2mo

25 bps increase

25%

No change

72%

$4.7K 24h · $239.8K total

economics

Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting

Closes in 22d

Above 3.50%

99%

Above 4.25%

~$2K 24h · ~$115.4K total

economics

Fed Decision in January

Closes in 5mo

25 bps increase

22%

No change

61%

$483 24h · $2.3K total

economics

Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting

Closes in 8mo

Above 0.25%

99%

Above 0.50%

99%

~$431 24h · ~$2.1K total

economics

Fed decision in Dec 2026

Closes in 4mo

Hike 25bps

28%

Fed maintains rate

66%

~$394 24h · ~$17.6K total

economics

Fed decision in Oct 2026

Closes in 2mo

Hike 25bps

22%

Fed maintains rate

73%

~$220 24h · ~$5.8K total

economics

Which central banks will hike before 2027

Data delayed · in 4mo

US Federal Reserve

64%

Bank of England

39%

~$207 24h · ~$19.1K total

economics

Fed Decision in December

Closes in 4mo

25 bps increase

29%

No change

61%

$199 24h · $50.1K total

economics

Will the Federal Reserve publish a dot plot for its September 2026 Summary of Economic Projections?

Closes in 22d

In September 2026

91%

Not In September 2026

~$187 24h · ~$6.7K total

economics

Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced

Data delayed · in 6d

Before Sep 1, 2026

Before Jan 1, 2027

19%

~$10 24h · ~$217 total

economics

Cuts — Will the Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027?

Closes in 4mo

Cuts

12%

Not Cuts

88%

~$92 24h · ~$126.5K total

economics

Fed decision in Sep 2027

Closes in 1y

Cut 25bps

Fed maintains rate

61%

~$52 24h · ~$574 total

economics

Fed decision in Jan 2027

Closes in 5mo

Hike 25bps

16%

Fed maintains rate

61%

~$40 24h · ~$16.5K total

economics

Fed decision in Mar 2027

Closes in 7mo

Cut 25bps

13%

Fed maintains rate

66%

~$33 24h · ~$3.2K total

economics

Fed decision in Apr 2027

Closes in 8mo

Cut 25bps

14%

Fed maintains rate

61%

~$33 24h · ~$7.8K total