Markets - Kosmos

geopolitics

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Closes in 4mo

Yes

17%

84%

$207.5K 24h · $59.9M total

geopolitics

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...

Closes in 6d

August 25

>99%

August 31

95%

$170.8K 24h · $997.9K total

geopolitics

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...

Closes in 6d

March 31, 2027

68%

September 30, 2026

30%

$82.5K 24h · $1.3M total

geopolitics

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…

Closes in 4mo

November 30

11%

December 31

15%

$59.4K 24h · $2.2M total

geopolitics

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...

Closes in 6d

October 31

27%

December 31

42%

$41.3K 24h · $1.1M total

geopolitics

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...

Closes in 21d

September 15

20%

September 30

32%

$30.5K 24h · $64.1K total

geopolitics

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...

Closes in 6d

September 30

62%

August 31

35%

$30.2K 24h · $365K total

geopolitics

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...

Closes in 6d

August 31

97%

September 30

88%

$26.4K 24h · $2.5M total

geopolitics

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...

Closes in 1mo

No Meeting by September 30

67%

Pakistan

11%

$24.6K 24h · $973.8K total

geopolitics

Iran full airspace closure by...

Closes in 6d

September 30

December 31

19%

$22.1K 24h · $1.3M total

geopolitics

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Closes in 4mo

Yes

93%

$21.2K 24h · $25.2M total

geopolitics

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

Closes in 1mo

Yes

99%

$19.8K 24h · $1.8M total

geopolitics

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026

Closes in 4mo

Iran Reconstruction Funding

18%

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

14%

$16.3K 24h · $199.6K total

geopolitics

US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?

Closes in 6d

August 31

Not August 31

96%

$12K 24h · $198.8K total

geopolitics

Iran leadership change by...

Closes in 1mo

June 30, 2027

25%

December 31

16%

$7.7K 24h · $488.2K total

geopolitics

Iran successfully targets shipping by...

Quote unavailable

August 26

August 31

$5.8K 24h · $5.8K total

geopolitics

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31

Closes in 4mo

Steve Witkoff

40%

Jared Kushner

33%

$4.9K 24h · $27.7K total

geopolitics

Iran leader end of 2026

Closes in 4mo

Mojtaba Khamenei

82%

No Head of State

$4.4K 24h · $6.1M total

geopolitics

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Closes in 4mo

Yes

17%

84%

$207.5K 24h · $59.9M total

geopolitics

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...

Closes in 6d

August 25

>99%

August 31

95%

$170.8K 24h · $997.9K total

geopolitics

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...

Closes in 6d

March 31, 2027

68%

September 30, 2026

30%

$82.5K 24h · $1.3M total

geopolitics

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…

Closes in 4mo

November 30

11%

December 31

15%

$59.4K 24h · $2.2M total

geopolitics

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...

Closes in 6d

October 31

27%

December 31

42%

$41.3K 24h · $1.1M total

geopolitics

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...

Closes in 21d

September 15

20%

September 30

32%

$30.5K 24h · $64.1K total

geopolitics

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...

Closes in 6d

September 30

62%

August 31

35%

$30.2K 24h · $365K total

geopolitics

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...

Closes in 6d

August 31

97%

September 30

88%

$26.4K 24h · $2.5M total

geopolitics

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...

Closes in 1mo

No Meeting by September 30

67%

Pakistan

11%

$24.6K 24h · $973.8K total

geopolitics

Iran full airspace closure by...

Closes in 6d

September 30

December 31

19%

$22.1K 24h · $1.3M total

geopolitics

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Closes in 4mo

Yes

93%

$21.2K 24h · $25.2M total

geopolitics

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

Closes in 1mo

Yes

99%

$19.8K 24h · $1.8M total

geopolitics

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026

Closes in 4mo

Iran Reconstruction Funding

18%

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

14%

$16.3K 24h · $199.6K total

geopolitics

US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?

Closes in 6d

August 31

Not August 31

96%

$12K 24h · $198.8K total

geopolitics

Iran leadership change by...

Closes in 1mo

June 30, 2027

25%

December 31

16%

$7.7K 24h · $488.2K total

geopolitics

Iran successfully targets shipping by...

Quote unavailable

August 26

August 31

$5.8K 24h · $5.8K total

geopolitics

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31

Closes in 4mo

Steve Witkoff

40%

Jared Kushner

33%

$4.9K 24h · $27.7K total

geopolitics

Iran leader end of 2026

Closes in 4mo

Mojtaba Khamenei

82%

No Head of State

$4.4K 24h · $6.1M total